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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-20 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+1.8%) | 8.4 | <0.1% | 10m | 6.7d ago · 49× | 2% ±6 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 4% ±14 | 30% ±52 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 134 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,808.05 (+1.7%) | 7.9 | 0.5% | 1h | 4.5d ago · 71× | 2% ±7 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 10% ±26 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 7,782.81 (+1.3%) | 6.3 | 3.3% | 7h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 9% ±15 | 31% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±15 | 22% ±41 | 56% ±69 | 5.9d | 0.52% | 0.33% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,752.52–7,761.89 (+0.9%) | 4.4 | 7.8% | 13h | 4.7d ago · 66× | 7% ±8 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 79 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 17% ±21 | 49% ±44 | 5.9d | 0.45% | 0.24% | 216 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,717.18 (+0.5%) | 2.2 | 3.9% | 6h | 5.6d ago · 49× | 42% ±32 | 33% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 46 | 23% ±11 | 44% ±32 | 70% ±52 | 96% | 1.1d | 0.52% | 0.42% | 55 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,701.06–7,761.39 (+0.3%) | 1.2 | 3.1% | 6h | 4.7d ago · 65× | 57% ±18 | 30% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 71 | 34% ±7 | 58% ±17 | 70% ±28 | 81% ±39 | 22h | 0.55% | 0.39% | 184 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,699.87 (+0.2%) | 1.2 | 3.0% | 6h | 5.7d ago · 44× | 72% ±23 | 30% ±14 | 41% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 43 | 49% ±11 | 72% ±23 | 86% ±30 | 97% ±25 | 6h | 0.62% | 0.44% | 85 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,681.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,680.95 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 0.2% | 34m | 13.6d ago · 54× | 81% ±21 | 29% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 65 | 65% ±10 | 81% ±21 | 85% ±35 | 91% ±39 | 1h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 79 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,499.95–7,515.03 (-2.2%) | 10 | 2.6% | 4h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 8% ±22 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 87 | 5% ±7 | 8% ±22 | 16% ±51 | 16% | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.46% | 35 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,444.64 (-3.1%) | 15 | 2.7% | 4h | 5.7d ago · 41× | 3% ±5 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±15 | 13% ±29 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 222 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 7,681.13 | 7,619.11 | 7,752.52 | expired | +0.21% |