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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-20 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+2.0%) | 8.8 | <0.1% | 11m | 6.8d ago · 49× | 2% ±7 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 4% ±15 | 29% ±51 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 125 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,807.13 (+1.8%) | 8.2 | 0.6% | 1h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 2% ±8 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 11% ±27 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 86 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 7,780.46 (+1.5%) | 6.7 | 3.0% | 6h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 9% ±15 | 31% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±15 | 22% ±40 | 56% ±69 | 5.9d | 0.52% | 0.33% | 78 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,751.09–7,762.4 (+1.1%) | 4.9 | 8.4% | 14h | 4.7d ago · 66× | 6% ±8 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 79 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 15% ±21 | 45% ±44 | 5.9d | 0.45% | 0.24% | 197 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,707.68 (+0.5%) | 2.4 | 3.2% | 6h | 5.7d ago · 49× | 38% ±32 | 34% ±14 | 30% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 18% ±10 | 37% ±32 | 68% ±53 | 95% | 1.9d | 0.54% | 0.39% | 55 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 7,696.03–7,761.39 (+0.4%) | 1.7 | 2.3% | 4h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 45% ±19 | 31% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 72 | 19% ±6 | 45% ±19 | 60% ±32 | 78% ±41 | 1.9d | 0.56% | 0.39% | 157 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,694.54 (+0.4%) | 1.7 | 1.9% | 3h | 5.7d ago · 44× | 59% ±30 | 30% ±14 | 41% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 43 | 32% ±12 | 60% ±29 | 77% ±41 | 95% ±29 | 22h | 0.62% | 0.44% | 63 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,666.07 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,665.87 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 0.2% | 31m | 13.7d ago · 54× | 81% ±21 | 29% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 65 | 66% ±10 | 82% ±21 | 85% ±35 | 91% ±39 | 1h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 80 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,504.98–7,510 (-2.0%) | 9.1 | 3.8% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 7% ±18 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 87 | 4% ±6 | 6% ±17 | 15% ±41 | 17% | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.46% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,439.61 (-3.0%) | 13 | 4.2% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 3% ±5 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±15 | 13% ±29 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 224 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.