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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+2.0%) | 8.2 | 0.1% | 12m | 6.7d ago · 49× | 2% ±6 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 4% ±13 | 29% ±52 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 141 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,796.09 (+1.7%) | 7.1 | 1.8% | 4h | 4.5d ago · 71× | 2% ±6 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 12% ±26 | 44% ±56 | > 7d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 7,777.61–7,781.17 (+1.5%) | 6.1 | 2.6% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 6% ±8 | 32% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 30% ±10 | 83 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±8 | 17% ±23 | 42% ±48 | 5.9d | 0.48% | 0.26% | 186 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,751.84–7,753.85 (+1.1%) | 4.7 | 9.1% | 15h | 4.7d ago · 51× | 6% ±9 | 29% ±12 | 37% ±13 | 33% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 14% ±24 | 50% ±57 | 5.9d | 0.46% | 0.28% | 144 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,696.03–7,761.39 (+0.4%) | 1.7 | 2.5% | 4h | 4.7d ago · 65× | 44% ±19 | 31% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 72 | 19% ±6 | 44% ±19 | 61% ±32 | 77% ±41 | 1.9d | 0.56% | 0.39% | 162 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,692.32–7,698.7 (+0.4%) | 1.5 | 1.6% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 49× | 57% ±28 | 32% ±13 | 35% ±14 | 32% ±13 | 47 | 33% ±11 | 57% ±28 | 75% ±42 | 96% ±26 | 23h | 0.58% | 0.42% | 74 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,665.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,640.73 (-0.3%) | 1.3 | 0.4% | 35m | 13.6d ago · 54× | 53% ±20 | 29% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 65 | 39% ±8 | 53% ±20 | 65% ±33 | 81% ±38 | 22h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 148 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,394.36–7,444.64 (-2.9%) | 12 | 3.2% | 4h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 9% ±25 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 88 | 6% ±8 | 9% ±23 | 18% ±53 | 18% | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.46% | 33 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,439.61 (-2.9%) | 12 | 4.5% | 6h | 5.7d ago · 41× | 3% ±5 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±14 | 12% ±28 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 225 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.