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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-21 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+1.8%) | 7.8 | <0.1% | 12m | 6.7d ago · 49× | 2% ±5 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 155 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,781.16 (+1.4%) | 5.8 | 3.3% | 7h | 4.6d ago · 66× | 4% ±7 | 33% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 79 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 15% ±21 | 38% ±43 | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.19% | 191 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 7,751.84–7,755.8 (+1.0%) | 4.2 | 8.9% | 15h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 7% ±9 | 28% ±9 | 40% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 16% ±23 | 52% ±49 | 6.5d | 0.43% | 0.24% | 186 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 7,701.95 (+0.3%) | 1.4 | 3.7% | 7h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 50% ±20 | 31% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 30% ±7 | 50% ±20 | 63% ±33 | 82% ±38 | 1.0d | 0.52% | 0.33% | 151 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,696.03–7,761.39 (+0.2%) | 1.1 | 2.6% | 4h | 4.7d ago · 65× | 64% ±16 | 32% ±11 | 30% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 73 | 43% ±7 | 64% ±16 | 76% ±25 | 86% ±31 | 20h | 0.56% | 0.38% | 200 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,686.99 (+0.1%) | 0.6 | 1.4% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 44× | 80% ±22 | 32% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 44 | 63% ±11 | 80% ±22 | 91% ±27 | 99% ±15 | 2h | 0.63% | 0.43% | 80 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,677.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,658.73 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | 0.5% | 1h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 72% ±16 | 23% ±9 | 37% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 81 | 47% ±7 | 72% ±16 | 79% ±25 | 90% ±29 | 18h | 0.56% | 0.50% | 187 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,640.73 (-0.5%) | 2.0 | 0.4% | 34m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 35% ±20 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 66 | 22% ±7 | 34% ±20 | 57% ±37 | 75% ±49 | 2.1d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 132 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,394.36–7,444.64 (-3.0%) | 13 | 3.1% | 4h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 12% ±31 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 88 | 7% ±10 | 11% ±30 | 19% | 19% | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.46% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,439.61 (-3.1%) | 13 | 4.4% | 6h | 5.7d ago · 41× | 3% ±5 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±15 | 13% ±29 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 226 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.