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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+2.2%) | 9.1 | 0.1% | 12m | 6.5d ago · 49× | 2% ±7 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 4% ±15 | 28% ±51 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 119 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,786.35 (+1.8%) | 7.5 | 3.6% | 7h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 1% ±5 | 33% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 79 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 9% ±19 | 29% ±52 | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.19% | 138 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,751.54–7,753.85 (+1.4%) | 5.6 | 10.3% | 15h | 4.5d ago · 51× | 4% ±8 | 29% ±12 | 37% ±13 | 33% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 12% ±24 | 46% ±56 | 6.0d | 0.46% | 0.28% | 129 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,739.77 (+1.2%) | 5.0 | 8.0% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 3% ±7 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 13% ±21 | 49% ±49 | > 7d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 171 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,691.01–7,766.42 (+0.6%) | 2.3 | 1.9% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 36% ±20 | 31% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 74 | 11% ±5 | 36% ±20 | 50% ±35 | 73% ±50 | 3.0d | 0.56% | 0.37% | 138 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,688.16 (+0.5%) | 2.2 | 1.8% | 2h | 5.5d ago · 44× | 45% ±31 | 31% ±14 | 42% ±14 | 27% ±13 | 45 | 23% ±11 | 45% ±31 | 66% ±54 | 94% | 1.8d | 0.62% | 0.42% | 62 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 7,676.98 (+0.4%) | 1.6 | 2.9% | 6h | 4.5d ago · 78× | 40% ±20 | 31% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 21% ±7 | 40% ±20 | 56% ±34 | 79% ±46 | 2.8d | 0.52% | 0.33% | 138 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,660.75 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 0.3% | 2h | 5.4d ago · 49× | 71% ±23 | 33% ±13 | 31% ±13 | 35% ±14 | 48 | 49% ±10 | 71% ±23 | 84% ±33 | 99% ±14 | 5h | 0.52% | 0.37% | 89 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,647.67 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,640.73 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 0.5% | 53m | 13.4d ago · 54× | 77% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 66 | 60% ±9 | 77% ±19 | 83% ±30 | 92% ±31 | 2h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 108 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,575.37 (-0.9%) | 3.9 | 0.9% | 1h | 5.5d ago · 41× | 21% ±16 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 7% ±4 | 21% ±16 | 43% ±34 | 58% ±48 | 4.9d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 152 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,414.48–7,444.64 (-2.7%) | 11 | 2.9% | 3h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 8% ±21 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 88 | 5% ±7 | 7% ±21 | 15% ±49 | 15% | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.46% | 38 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,647.67 | 7,568.65 | 7,676.98 | stop | -0.23% |