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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-24 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+2.2%) | 8.9 | 0.1% | 12m | 6.6d ago · 49× | 2% ±6 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 4% ±14 | 28% ±51 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 126 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,751.54–7,759.57 (+1.3%) | 5.4 | 10.1% | 15h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 4% ±7 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 79 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 13% ±20 | 43% ±43 | 6.0d | 0.45% | 0.24% | 193 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,725.16 (+1.0%) | 4.0 | 4.8% | 6h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 9% ±10 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±10 | 20% ±24 | 53% ±44 | 7.0d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 197 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 7,701.6 (+0.6%) | 2.7 | 4.2% | 7h | 4.6d ago · 78× | 24% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 6% ±4 | 24% ±17 | 40% ±34 | 67% ±53 | 4.9d | 0.52% | 0.33% | 136 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,691.01–7,766.42 (+0.5%) | 2.1 | 1.9% | 2h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 38% ±20 | 31% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 74 | 13% ±6 | 38% ±20 | 53% ±37 | 75% ±49 | 3.0d | 0.56% | 0.37% | 132 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,654.24–7,656.29 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.5% | 4h | 5.5d ago · 49× | 81% ±22 | 32% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 48 | 61% ±11 | 81% ±22 | 92% ±27 | 99% ±16 | 2h | 0.57% | 0.40% | 72 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,652.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,635.7 (-0.2%) | 0.9 | 0.2% | 21m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 65% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 66 | 52% ±8 | 65% ±19 | 75% ±30 | 87% ±33 | 4h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 149 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,580.39 (-0.9%) | 3.9 | 0.9% | 1h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 21% ±16 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 7% ±4 | 21% ±16 | 43% ±32 | 58% ±48 | 4.9d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 153 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,414.48–7,444.64 (-2.7%) | 11 | 2.9% | 3h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 7% ±19 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 88 | 5% ±7 | 7% ±19 | 15% ±49 | 15% | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.46% | 40 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,652.03 | 7,583.16 | 7,701.6 | expired | -0.18% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 7,652.03 | 7,546.7 | 7,751.54 | expired | -0.18% |