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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-25 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+2.0%) | 8.3 | 0.1% | 12m | 6.5d ago · 49× | 2% ±6 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 29% ±51 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 144 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,751.54–7,759.57 (+1.1%) | 4.7 | 9.9% | 15h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 6% ±8 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 79 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 15% ±20 | 46% ±44 | 6.0d | 0.45% | 0.24% | 216 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,702.68 (+0.5%) | 2.1 | 4.1% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 30% ±16 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 10% ±4 | 30% ±16 | 45% ±31 | 69% ±45 | 3.9d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 184 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,691.01–7,766.42 (+0.3%) | 1.4 | 1.8% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 52% ±18 | 31% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 74 | 29% ±7 | 52% ±18 | 65% ±30 | 78% ±41 | 1.0d | 0.56% | 0.37% | 183 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,664.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 7,652.45–7,652.45 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 2.3% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 75× | 65% ±17 | 26% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 87 | 47% ±7 | 65% ±17 | 79% ±25 | 88% ±31 | 10h | 0.51% | 0.35% | 180 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,641.34 (-0.3%) | 1.3 | 0.5% | 1h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 60% ±18 | 23% ±9 | 37% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 81 | 36% ±7 | 60% ±18 | 70% ±30 | 85% ±35 | 21h | 0.56% | 0.50% | 164 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,635.7 (-0.4%) | 1.6 | 0.2% | 21m | 13.4d ago · 54× | 45% ±20 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 66 | 30% ±7 | 44% ±19 | 61% ±34 | 78% ±40 | 1.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 147 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,585.42 (-1.0%) | 4.4 | 0.8% | 1h | 5.5d ago · 41× | 14% ±13 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 4% ±3 | 13% ±13 | 34% ±31 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 154 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,414.48–7,444.64 (-2.9%) | 12 | 2.8% | 3h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 9% ±25 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 88 | 6% ±8 | 9% ±23 | 18% ±53 | 18% | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.46% | 33 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 7,664.96 | 7,751.54 | 7,633.17 | expired | +0.06% |