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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-25 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+2.0%) | 8.6 | 0.1% | 11m | 6.5d ago · 49× | 2% ±6 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 4% ±13 | 29% ±51 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 135 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,751.54–7,759.57 (+1.1%) | 4.9 | 9.5% | 14h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 6% ±8 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 79 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 15% ±20 | 45% ±44 | 6.0d | 0.45% | 0.24% | 207 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,697.4 (+0.4%) | 1.8 | 3.2% | 5h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 34% ±17 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 14% ±5 | 34% ±16 | 50% ±30 | 69% ±40 | 3.0d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 189 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 7,676.77 (+0.1%) | 0.6 | 3.0% | 7h | 4.5d ago · 78× | 71% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 54% ±8 | 71% ±17 | 81% ±25 | 88% ±32 | 3h | 0.52% | 0.33% | 159 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,670.89–7,680.95 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.3% | 6h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 73% ±18 | 31% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 74 | 57% ±8 | 73% ±18 | 83% ±26 | 88% ±37 | 2h | 0.56% | 0.37% | 146 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,665.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 7,652.45 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 2.2% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 58× | 60% ±19 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 62 | 40% ±8 | 60% ±19 | 69% ±32 | 84% ±36 | 18h | 0.60% | 0.45% | 149 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,641.34 (-0.3%) | 1.4 | 0.5% | 1h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 57% ±19 | 23% ±9 | 37% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 81 | 34% ±7 | 57% ±18 | 68% ±30 | 82% ±37 | 22h | 0.56% | 0.50% | 165 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,635.7 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 0.2% | 19m | 13.4d ago · 54× | 42% ±20 | 30% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 67 | 27% ±7 | 41% ±20 | 59% ±34 | 77% ±47 | 2.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 146 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,595.48 (-0.9%) | 4.0 | 1.0% | 1h | 5.5d ago · 41× | 20% ±16 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 6% ±4 | 19% ±15 | 41% ±32 | 55% ±49 | 5.0d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 153 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,419.5–7,444.64 (-2.9%) | 13 | 2.7% | 3h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 9% ±26 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 88 | 6% ±8 | 9% ±25 | 15% ±50 | 15% | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.46% | 32 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.