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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-26 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+1.9%) | 8.9 | <0.1% | 11m | 6.6d ago · 49× | 2% ±6 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 4% ±14 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 132 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,751.54–7,759.57 (+1.1%) | 4.9 | 8.9% | 14h | 4.6d ago · 66× | 5% ±8 | 31% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 79 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 14% ±21 | 44% ±43 | 6.0d | 0.45% | 0.24% | 205 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,696.03–7,766.42 (+0.3%) | 1.6 | 2.6% | 4h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 46% ±18 | 31% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 74 | 22% ±6 | 46% ±18 | 62% ±32 | 78% ±41 | 1.8d | 0.56% | 0.37% | 168 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,686.82 (+0.2%) | 1.0 | 1.6% | 3h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 64% ±15 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 44% ±6 | 64% ±15 | 77% ±22 | 85% ±29 | 18h | 0.40% | 0.19% | 246 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 7,676.77 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 3.4% | 8h | 4.6d ago · 78× | 72% ±18 | 31% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 57% ±8 | 72% ±18 | 81% ±27 | 88% ±32 | 2h | 0.52% | 0.33% | 147 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,669.45 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,645.57–7,652.45 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | 2.1% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 56% ±19 | 23% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 81 | 35% ±7 | 56% ±19 | 66% ±31 | 82% ±38 | 22h | 0.58% | 0.48% | 163 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,635.7 (-0.4%) | 2.0 | 0.1% | 17m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 35% ±20 | 30% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 67 | 22% ±7 | 34% ±19 | 58% ±34 | 76% ±49 | 2.1d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 136 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,595.48 (-1.0%) | 4.5 | 0.9% | 1h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 14% ±13 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 4% ±3 | 14% ±13 | 34% ±31 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 159 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,419.5–7,439.61 (-3.0%) | 14 | 3.9% | 4h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 11% ±30 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 88 | 7% ±9 | 10% ±26 | 10% ±42 | 10% | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.46% | 28 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.