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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-26 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,811.67 (+1.8%) | 8.5 | 0.2% | 31m | 6.5d ago · 49× | 2% ±6 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 4% ±13 | 29% ±51 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 139 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC | 7,752.43–7,753.85 (+1.0%) | 4.8 | 8.7% | 13h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 7% ±8 | 30% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 79 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 16% ±20 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.23% | 229 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,696.03–7,761.39 (+0.3%) | 1.4 | 2.5% | 4h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 54% ±18 | 31% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 74 | 30% ±7 | 54% ±17 | 68% ±28 | 79% ±36 | 1.0d | 0.56% | 0.37% | 190 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,684.79 (+0.1%) | 0.7 | 2.0% | 4h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 69% ±15 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 51% ±6 | 69% ±15 | 82% ±21 | 88% ±29 | 4h | 0.40% | 0.19% | 230 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 7,676.55 (+0.0%) | 0.2 | 3.7% | 9h | 4.5d ago · 51× | 78% ±20 | 34% ±12 | 34% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 56 | 59% ±10 | 78% ±20 | 86% ±28 | 90% ±41 | 2h | 0.48% | 0.26% | 100 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,673.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 7,672.27 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.5% | 9h | 6.5d ago · 75× | 81% ±16 | 27% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 88 | 64% ±8 | 81% ±16 | 91% ±21 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 0.45% | 0.28% | 129 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,652.85 (-0.3%) | 1.3 | 2.2% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 59% ±19 | 23% ±9 | 37% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 81 | 34% ±7 | 59% ±19 | 69% ±30 | 84% ±36 | 22h | 0.56% | 0.50% | 164 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,635.7–7,638.17 (-0.5%) | 2.2 | 0.3% | 32m | 5.5d ago · 58× | 34% ±19 | 23% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 63 | 12% ±5 | 34% ±19 | 51% ±35 | 66% ±54 | 3.2d | 0.66% | 0.49% | 140 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,635.7 (-0.5%) | 2.4 | 0.1% | 16m | 13.4d ago · 54× | 29% ±18 | 30% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 67 | 16% ±6 | 28% ±18 | 52% ±35 | 70% ±45 | 2.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 147 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,424.53–7,439.61 (-3.1%) | 14 | 3.9% | 4h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 11% ±30 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 88 | 7% ±9 | 10% ±26 | 10% ±42 | 10% | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.46% | 28 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,673.95 | 7,684.79 | 7,652.85 | target | +0.80% |