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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-28 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,776.48 (+0.9%) | 3.4 | 3.1% | 5h | 6.7d ago · 49× | 11% ±10 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±10 | 30% ±25 | 53% ±44 | 6.8d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 230 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,776.48–7,791.56 (+0.9%) | 3.4 | 3.1% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 65× | 26% ±20 | 30% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 76 | 4% ±3 | 26% ±20 | 41% ±39 | 68% ±53 | 4.0d | 0.54% | 0.37% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 7,753.85 (+0.6%) | 2.3 | 10.5% | 16h | 4.7d ago · 46× | 19% ±18 | 25% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 34% ±13 | 50 | 7% ±5 | 19% ±18 | 40% ±39 | 62% ±55 | 4.0d | 0.45% | 0.30% | 116 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,722.05 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 7.6% | 11h | 4.7d ago · 66× | 72% ±16 | 33% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 79 | 52% ±7 | 72% ±16 | 81% ±23 | 89% ±27 | 4h | 0.44% | 0.19% | 191 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,711.49 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.6% | 9h | 4.5d ago · 71× | 78% ±15 | 25% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 96 | 60% ±7 | 78% ±15 | 87% ±21 | 90% ±29 | 1h | 0.39% | 0.20% | 185 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,707.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,673.5–7,677.06 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 5.9% | 13h | 4.7d ago · 75× | 44% ±20 | 26% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 89 | 24% ±7 | 44% ±20 | 70% ±32 | 83% ±42 | 1.5d | 0.48% | 0.28% | 136 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,648.85–7,650.78 (-0.7%) | 2.8 | 2.2% | 5h | 5.7d ago · 58× | 27% ±17 | 23% ±10 | 39% ±12 | 38% ±12 | 63 | 8% ±4 | 27% ±17 | 46% ±33 | 58% ±48 | 4.2d | 0.66% | 0.49% | 164 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,638.17 (-0.9%) | 3.4 | 0.4% | 44m | 6.4d ago · 67× | 17% ±12 | 23% ±9 | 37% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 81 | 7% ±3 | 17% ±12 | 36% ±26 | 61% ±39 | 5.0d | 0.56% | 0.50% | 239 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,635.7 (-0.9%) | 3.5 | 0.2% | 25m | 13.6d ago · 54× | 21% ±15 | 30% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 67 | 7% ±4 | 21% ±15 | 47% ±33 | 63% ±47 | 3.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 160 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 7,707.09 | 7,673.5 | 7,724.69 | expired | -0.04% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 7,707.09 | 7,677.06 | 7,735.23 | expired | -0.04% |