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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-31 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,763.67 (+1.3%) | 4.5 | 3.4% | 5h | 6.7d ago · 49× | 8% ±8 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 20% ±21 | 45% ±40 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 254 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 7,749.64 (+1.1%) | 3.9 | 14.7% | 17h | 4.7d ago · 46× | 7% ±10 | 26% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 18% ±27 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 0.47% | 0.29% | 151 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,714.59–7,718.6 (+0.6%) | 2.2 | 9.2% | 13h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 26% ±15 | 28% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 30% ±9 | 97 | 8% ±4 | 26% ±15 | 43% ±28 | 69% ±41 | 4.0d | 0.43% | 0.19% | 209 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,698.17–7,760.55 (+0.4%) | 1.5 | 5.2% | 8h | 4.7d ago · 65× | 52% ±18 | 30% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 76 | 27% ±6 | 52% ±18 | 66% ±29 | 79% ±40 | 1.0d | 0.54% | 0.37% | 184 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL · 14D POC | 7,668.69–7,676.98 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.3% | 12h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 77% ±18 | 32% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 85 | 59% ±9 | 77% ±18 | 85% ±27 | 90% ±34 | 2h | 0.51% | 0.35% | 124 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,667.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,642.18–7,649.46 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 2.4% | 4h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 62% ±18 | 23% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 81 | 40% ±7 | 62% ±18 | 71% ±28 | 85% ±35 | 20h | 0.57% | 0.48% | 172 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,613.95–7,635.79 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 0.2% | 28m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 46% ±19 | 30% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 67 | 32% ±7 | 46% ±19 | 60% ±32 | 78% ±41 | 1.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 154 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 7,667.01 | 7,668.69 | 7,727.62 | target | +0.17% |
| 14d | POC | short | 7,667.01 | 7,649.46 | 7,718.6 | target | +0.17% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 7,667.01 | 7,573.43 | 7,749.64 | expired | +0.17% |