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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-31 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,763.67 (+1.2%) | 4.4 | 3.2% | 5h | 6.6d ago · 49× | 8% ±8 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 20% ±21 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 253 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 7,749.64 (+1.0%) | 3.7 | 14.3% | 17h | 4.6d ago · 46× | 7% ±10 | 26% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±10 | 20% ±26 | 48% ±49 | > 7d | 0.47% | 0.29% | 157 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,713.84–7,715.49 (+0.5%) | 2.0 | 8.7% | 13h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 31% ±16 | 28% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 30% ±9 | 97 | 10% ±4 | 31% ±16 | 47% ±31 | 72% ±44 | 3.5d | 0.43% | 0.19% | 186 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,698.17–7,760.55 (+0.3%) | 1.2 | 5.0% | 7h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 58% ±17 | 30% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 76 | 34% ±7 | 58% ±17 | 71% ±27 | 81% ±34 | 23h | 0.54% | 0.37% | 193 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 7,676.16 (+0.0%) | 0.2 | 8.0% | 16h | 4.6d ago · 51× | 79% ±19 | 33% ±12 | 33% ±12 | 33% ±12 | 57 | 60% ±10 | 79% ±19 | 87% ±27 | 90% ±41 | 2h | 0.46% | 0.27% | 102 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,672.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 7,669.08–7,670.1 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 6.5% | 15h | 5.6d ago · 75× | 74% ±18 | 26% ±9 | 39% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 89 | 59% ±8 | 74% ±18 | 85% ±25 | 90% ±34 | 2h | 0.57% | 0.37% | 135 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,648.83–7,648.84 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 2.1% | 4h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 60% ±18 | 23% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 81 | 39% ±7 | 60% ±18 | 69% ±29 | 83% ±36 | 20h | 0.57% | 0.48% | 173 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,613.95–7,635.79 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 0.2% | 27m | 13.4d ago · 54× | 40% ±19 | 30% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 67 | 27% ±7 | 40% ±19 | 57% ±34 | 75% ±42 | 2.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 148 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 7,672.39 | 7,648.83 | 7,715.49 | target | +0.51% |