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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-01 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,763.67 (+1.4%) | 4.8 | 3.7% | 6h | 6.7d ago · 49× | 7% ±8 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 18% ±20 | 42% ±40 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 250 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 7,749.64 (+1.3%) | 4.1 | 15.3% | 19h | 4.7d ago · 46× | 5% ±9 | 26% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 15% ±23 | 44% ±49 | > 7d | 0.47% | 0.29% | 153 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,711.16–7,714.04 (+0.7%) | 2.5 | 8.8% | 13h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 22% ±14 | 28% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 30% ±9 | 97 | 6% ±3 | 22% ±14 | 39% ±28 | 66% ±42 | 4.6d | 0.43% | 0.19% | 211 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,670.1–7,675.98 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 7.2% | 17h | 4.7d ago · 78× | 66% ±17 | 32% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 85 | 48% ±7 | 67% ±17 | 76% ±27 | 86% ±34 | 12h | 0.51% | 0.35% | 181 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,666.98–7,682.57 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 5.3% | 13h | 4.7d ago · 65× | 71% ±17 | 30% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 76 | 52% ±7 | 71% ±17 | 82% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 3h | 0.54% | 0.37% | 174 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,653.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 7,649.41 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.5% | 5h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 66% ±21 | 24% ±11 | 36% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 63 | 47% ±9 | 66% ±21 | 74% ±35 | 85% ±40 | 18h | 0.58% | 0.45% | 114 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,613.95–7,635.79 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 0.2% | 56m | 13.5d ago · 54× | 67% ±19 | 30% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 67 | 53% ±8 | 67% ±19 | 76% ±29 | 89% ±36 | 3h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 142 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,627.87 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | <0.1% | 18m | 6.4d ago · 67× | 66% ±17 | 23% ±9 | 37% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 81 | 41% ±7 | 66% ±17 | 75% ±27 | 89% ±31 | 19h | 0.56% | 0.50% | 175 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 7,653.79 | 7,627.87 | 7,714.04 | target | -0.21% |
| 14d | POC | short | 7,653.79 | 7,649.41 | 7,711.16 | target | -0.21% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 7,653.79 | 7,560.21 | 7,749.64 | expired | -0.21% |