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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-09 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 7,761.22–7,769.44 (+1.4%) | 5.7 | 2.8% | 5h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 9% ±25 | 32% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 65% ±16 | 34 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±22 | 26% ±61 | 41% | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.50% | 34 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,746.83 (+1.2%) | 5.0 | 10.8% | 12h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 6% ±7 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 16% ±19 | 39% ±39 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 252 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,716.98–7,719.4 (+0.8%) | 3.4 | 7.6% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 13% ±11 | 28% ±9 | 41% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 98 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 29% ±25 | 58% ±40 | 6.2d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 237 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 7,662.58–7,685.18 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 5.2% | 10h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 71% ±17 | 30% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 79 | 54% ±8 | 71% ±17 | 81% ±25 | 87% ±33 | 3h | 0.54% | 0.38% | 167 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,659.86–7,671.82 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.8% | 8h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 69% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 87 | 49% ±8 | 69% ±17 | 79% ±26 | 88% ±32 | 11h | 0.49% | 0.31% | 170 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,654.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 7,648.19 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.3% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 66% ±25 | 23% ±12 | 40% ±14 | 37% ±13 | 49 | 51% ±11 | 66% ±25 | 75% ±38 | 83% ±52 | 4h | 0.77% | 0.55% | 85 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,631.75–7,646.14 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 1.6% | 4h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 73% ±19 | 30% ±11 | 30% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 68 | 58% ±9 | 73% ±19 | 79% ±30 | 90% ±33 | 2h | 0.51% | 0.37% | 123 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,620.82 (-0.4%) | 1.8 | 0.5% | 47m | 6.5d ago · 58× | 37% ±20 | 24% ±10 | 37% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 64 | 17% ±6 | 37% ±20 | 53% ±37 | 74% ±50 | 2.8d | 0.57% | 0.45% | 133 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,654.35 | 7,594.81 | 7,667.45 | target | +0.71% |
| 14d | POC | short | 7,654.35 | 7,620.82 | 7,716.98 | target | +0.71% |
| 30d | POC | short | 7,654.35 | 7,648.19 | 7,746.83 | target | +0.71% |