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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-09 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 7,759.16–7,775.6 (+1.5%) | 6.2 | 3.0% | 5h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 9% ±22 | 32% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 65% ±16 | 34 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±22 | 26% ±61 | 38% | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.50% | 35 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,757.05 (+1.5%) | 6.1 | 5.0% | 8h | 4.7d ago · 66× | 4% ±7 | 32% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 29% ±10 | 81 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 16% ±21 | 37% ±42 | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.19% | 197 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,743.5–7,744.78 (+1.3%) | 5.3 | 7.7% | 9h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 4% ±6 | 26% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 98 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 14% ±19 | 40% ±39 | > 7d | 0.40% | 0.21% | 241 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,712.98–7,713.66 (+0.9%) | 3.7 | 6.9% | 12h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 11% ±11 | 32% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 87 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±11 | 26% ±27 | 62% ±47 | 5.5d | 0.48% | 0.31% | 177 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 7,670.5–7,671.82 (+0.3%) | 1.4 | 10.3% | 18h | 4.8d ago · 46× | 53% ±22 | 29% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 31% ±13 | 52 | 32% ±8 | 53% ±22 | 70% ±34 | 84% ±42 | 1.5d | 0.55% | 0.34% | 117 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,662.58–7,685.18 (+0.2%) | 1.0 | 5.2% | 10h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 66% ±15 | 30% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 79 | 45% ±7 | 66% ±15 | 77% ±24 | 86% ±30 | 18h | 0.54% | 0.38% | 222 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,659.96 (+0.2%) | 0.9 | 3.9% | 8h | 5.7d ago · 49× | 73% ±22 | 33% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 49 | 51% ±10 | 73% ±22 | 85% ±31 | 99% ±14 | 3h | 0.50% | 0.35% | 98 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,643.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 7,642.03 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 66% ±26 | 23% ±12 | 40% ±14 | 37% ±13 | 49 | 53% ±11 | 66% ±26 | 74% ±43 | 81% ±54 | 2h | 0.77% | 0.55% | 78 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 7,635.86–7,637.92 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.7% | 4h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 79% ±19 | 30% ±11 | 30% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 68 | 63% ±9 | 79% ±19 | 83% ±30 | 92% ±31 | 2h | 0.51% | 0.37% | 108 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 7,643.76 | 7,671.82 | 7,623.53 | stop | -0.58% |