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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-10 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 7,762.27–7,769.37 (+2.1%) | 8.5 | 0.9% | 2h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 12% ±32 | 32% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 65% ±16 | 34 | 4% ±7 | 11% ±31 | 15% | 24% | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.50% | 25 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,758.08 (+2.1%) | 8.3 | 2.7% | 5h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 2% ±5 | 32% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 29% ±10 | 81 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 10% ±22 | 30% ±52 | > 7d | 0.44% | 0.19% | 126 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,733.88 (+1.8%) | 7.0 | 3.3% | 4h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 3% ±6 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±15 | 31% ±41 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 195 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 7,713.1–7,714.35 (+1.5%) | 5.9 | 7.1% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 3% ±7 | 28% ±9 | 39% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 98 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 15% ±25 | 52% ±49 | 6.0d | 0.40% | 0.22% | 150 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 7,662.37–7,668.8 (+0.8%) | 3.3 | 5.3% | 10h | 4.5d ago · 46× | 16% ±14 | 29% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 31% ±13 | 52 | 5% ±3 | 17% ±14 | 34% ±31 | 61% ±48 | 5.6d | 0.55% | 0.34% | 163 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,660.52–7,688.91 (+0.8%) | 3.2 | 4.3% | 8h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 30% ±20 | 31% ±10 | 31% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 80 | 5% ±4 | 29% ±20 | 44% ±37 | 67% ±53 | 3.9d | 0.54% | 0.37% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 7,641.02 (+0.5%) | 2.2 | 5.3% | 6h | 4.5d ago · 78× | 31% ±20 | 30% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 87 | 9% ±5 | 31% ±20 | 48% ±37 | 72% ±51 | 3.1d | 0.50% | 0.34% | 125 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,629.75 (+0.4%) | 1.6 | 2.9% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 32× | 53% ±31 | 32% ±16 | 26% ±16 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 23% ±10 | 53% ±29 | 65% ±47 | 80% ±56 | 1.0d | 0.59% | 0.59% | 63 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,599.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,580.06 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | <0.1% | 9m | 6.3d ago · 67× | 72% ±15 | 22% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 83 | 47% ±7 | 72% ±15 | 79% ±24 | 91% ±25 | 18h | 0.56% | 0.50% | 202 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.