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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-11 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 7,759.91–7,771.74 (+1.2%) | 4.2 | 2.0% | 3h | 20.8d ago · 30× | 12% ±23 | 32% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 65% ±16 | 34 | 4% ±6 | 12% ±23 | 35% ±54 | 63% | 4.1d | 0.52% | 0.50% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,728.76–7,738.61 (+0.7%) | 2.7 | 3.8% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 16% ±11 | 26% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 98 | 4% ±2 | 16% ±11 | 34% ±26 | 58% ±40 | 6.1d | 0.40% | 0.21% | 238 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 7,713.15–7,717.88 (+0.5%) | 2.0 | 7.7% | 13h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 30% ±15 | 31% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 87 | 10% ±4 | 31% ±15 | 47% ±29 | 73% ±39 | 3.5d | 0.47% | 0.27% | 204 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,705.48–7,724.41 (+0.4%) | 1.6 | 5.3% | 9h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 47% ±18 | 31% ±10 | 31% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 80 | 21% ±6 | 47% ±18 | 62% ±30 | 78% ±41 | 1.8d | 0.54% | 0.37% | 179 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,671.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,668.8–7,669.07 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 10.9% | 20h | 4.7d ago · 63× | 81% ±18 | 25% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 71 | 67% ±9 | 81% ±18 | 88% ±26 | 90% ±34 | 1h | 0.48% | 0.40% | 105 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,620.26–7,633.59 (-0.5%) | 1.8 | 4.0% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 67× | 38% ±18 | 23% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 83 | 16% ±5 | 38% ±18 | 53% ±31 | 70% ±45 | 2.8d | 0.60% | 0.50% | 172 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,598.99–7,625.02 (-0.6%) | 2.2 | 2.1% | 2h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 32% ±18 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 69 | 18% ±6 | 32% ±18 | 54% ±35 | 75% ±43 | 2.8d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 149 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 7,671.27 | 7,713.15 | 7,616.46 | open | — |
| 14d | VAL | long | 7,671.27 | 7,669.07 | 7,602.69 | open | — |
| 30d | VAL | long | 7,671.27 | 7,668.8 | 7,604.58 | open | — |