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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-11 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 7,759.91–7,771.74 (+1.1%) | 4.1 | 1.9% | 3h | 20.5d ago · 30× | 13% ±23 | 32% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 65% ±16 | 34 | 4% ±6 | 13% ±23 | 38% ±55 | 67% | 4.0d | 0.52% | 0.50% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,731.51 (+0.8%) | 2.7 | 3.1% | 4h | 6.7d ago · 49× | 14% ±11 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 4% ±3 | 14% ±11 | 37% ±27 | 57% ±43 | 5.2d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 221 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,714.35 (+0.5%) | 1.9 | 7.8% | 13h | 4.7d ago · 66× | 33% ±16 | 32% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 29% ±10 | 81 | 12% ±5 | 33% ±16 | 49% ±30 | 74% ±38 | 3.1d | 0.44% | 0.19% | 195 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,705.48–7,724.41 (+0.4%) | 1.5 | 5.3% | 9h | 4.7d ago · 65× | 50% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 31% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 80 | 24% ±6 | 50% ±17 | 64% ±28 | 78% ±36 | 1.1d | 0.54% | 0.37% | 191 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,700.43 (+0.4%) | 1.3 | 5.0% | 8h | 4.5d ago · 71× | 52% ±16 | 25% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 98 | 30% ±6 | 52% ±16 | 69% ±26 | 79% ±36 | 1.0d | 0.37% | 0.20% | 223 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,673.42 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,668.8–7,669.29 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 12.6% | 22h | 4.5d ago · 63× | 79% ±18 | 25% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 71 | 64% ±9 | 79% ±18 | 87% ±27 | 91% ±32 | 1h | 0.48% | 0.40% | 115 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 7,640.95 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 5.7% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 75× | 44% ±19 | 28% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 91 | 24% ±7 | 44% ±19 | 71% ±32 | 87% ±33 | 1.2d | 0.44% | 0.28% | 151 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,620.7–7,627.39 (-0.6%) | 2.2 | 2.8% | 3h | 5.7d ago · 58× | 32% ±18 | 23% ±10 | 38% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 65 | 11% ±5 | 32% ±18 | 50% ±33 | 66% ±46 | 3.4d | 0.63% | 0.50% | 162 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,598.99–7,625.02 (-0.6%) | 2.3 | 2.1% | 2h | 13.6d ago · 54× | 30% ±18 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 69 | 16% ±6 | 30% ±18 | 52% ±35 | 72% ±44 | 2.9d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 152 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,599.66 (-1.0%) | 3.5 | 2.4% | 3h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 15% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 83 | 6% ±3 | 15% ±11 | 35% ±25 | 60% ±39 | 5.0d | 0.56% | 0.50% | 251 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 7,673.42 | 7,714.35 | 7,620.7 | open | — |
| 30d | POC | long | 7,673.42 | 7,731.51 | 7,627.39 | open | — |