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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-11 19:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 7,759.09–7,769.62 (+1.4%) | 5.1 | 1.3% | 3h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 7% ±18 | 32% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 65% ±16 | 34 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±17 | 26% ±50 | 48% | > 7d | 0.52% | 0.50% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 7,727.49 (+0.9%) | 3.5 | 4.1% | 6h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 11% ±9 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±9 | 29% ±24 | 50% ±40 | 7.0d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 245 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 7,706.43–7,723.28 (+0.7%) | 2.5 | 5.3% | 9h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 36% ±19 | 31% ±10 | 31% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 80 | 8% ±4 | 37% ±19 | 51% ±35 | 72% ±44 | 3.0d | 0.54% | 0.37% | 151 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,693.02–7,700.22 (+0.5%) | 1.8 | 6.5% | 8h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 31% ±16 | 28% ±9 | 41% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 98 | 11% ±4 | 31% ±16 | 49% ±30 | 72% ±40 | 3.4d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 206 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,669.29–7,671.68 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 13.4% | 22h | 4.8d ago · 51× | 70% ±19 | 31% ±12 | 36% ±12 | 33% ±12 | 59 | 50% ±8 | 70% ±19 | 81% ±27 | 86% ±39 | 4h | 0.47% | 0.27% | 139 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,655.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D POC | 7,641.36–7,647.46 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 4.9% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 75× | 68% ±16 | 26% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 91 | 52% ±7 | 68% ±16 | 82% ±24 | 89% ±31 | 3h | 0.54% | 0.38% | 187 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,626.9 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 2.6% | 3h | 6.5d ago · 67× | 56% ±18 | 22% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 83 | 32% ±7 | 56% ±18 | 66% ±29 | 83% ±37 | 23h | 0.56% | 0.50% | 175 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,601.12–7,622.18 (-0.4%) | 1.6 | 1.0% | 1h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 44% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 69 | 27% ±7 | 43% ±19 | 59% ±32 | 79% ±40 | 2.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 156 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,603.03 (-0.7%) | 2.6 | 2.0% | 2h | 6.5d ago · 58× | 27% ±16 | 24% ±10 | 37% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 65 | 8% ±4 | 27% ±16 | 47% ±33 | 63% ±47 | 3.9d | 0.55% | 0.45% | 167 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.