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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-07-30 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 334.6169 (+5.3%) | 4.0 | 1.9% | 3h | 19.8d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 329.1664–331.24 (+3.6%) | 2.7 | 5.8% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 68× | 23% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 7% ±14 | 21% ±57 | 48% | 75% | 3.1d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 318.2315–319.41 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 7.8% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 82× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 317.8661 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 317.7014 (-0.1%) | 0.0 | 7.7% | 11h | 8.8d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | 67% ±29 | 75% ±60 | 75% | 75% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 308.5267 (-2.9%) | 2.2 | 3.3% | 3h | 12.6d ago · 79× | 36% ±66 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 13% ±18 | 33% ±65 | 50% | 71% | 6.9d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 300.82 (-5.4%) | 4.1 | 5.0% | 6h | 7.6d ago · 44× | 20% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 12% ±16 | 18% ±44 | 18% | 18% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 317.8661 | 329.1664 | 314.6566 | stop | -2.51% |