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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-07-31 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 334.6169 (+5.8%) | 4.5 | 1.9% | 3h | 20.0d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 331.24 (+4.7%) | 3.7 | 3.6% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 40× | 20% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 6% ±12 | 18% ±44 | 41% | 77% | 3.1d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 327.1723–329.1664 (+3.4%) | 2.7 | 4.0% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 68× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 8% ±16 | 12% ±46 | 18% | 24% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 316.9496–318.3017 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 7.6% | 11h | 1.8d ago · 82× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 316.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 316.03 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 7.6% | 12h | 7.0d ago · 45× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 311.8366 (-1.4%) | 1.1 | 4.3% | 5h | 12.8d ago · 79× | 46% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 31% ±27 | 46% ±69 | 69% | 69% | 1.1d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 300.82 (-4.9%) | 3.8 | 4.5% | 6h | 7.8d ago · 44× | 21% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 12% ±17 | 19% ±55 | 19% | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 316.29 | 311.8366 | 327.1723 | target | +3.71% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 316.29 | 298.6227 | 329.1664 | target | +3.71% |