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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-07-31 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,783 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.47 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 334.6169 (+8.0%) | 6.6 | 1.7% | 3h | 20.4d ago · 52× | 8% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 327.86–329.1664 (+5.8%) | 4.8 | 4.5% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 54× | 12% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±11 | 11% ±35 | 29% | 65% | 6.0d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 324.254 (+4.6%) | 3.8 | 3.0% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 68× | 17% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 7% ±15 | 15% ±49 | 15% | 15% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 318.4525 (+2.8%) | 2.3 | 7.4% | 11h | 2.1d ago · 82× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 315.8219–316.03 (+1.9%) | 1.6 | 7.4% | 13h | 2.1d ago · 41× | 7% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 7% ±14 | 7% ±35 | 27% | 73% | 5.9d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 311.802 (+0.6%) | 0.5 | 4.6% | 6h | 7.4d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| at post · 309.884 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 300.82 (-2.9%) | 2.4 | 3.7% | 5h | 8.2d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 309.884 | 297.432 | 318.4525 | expired | +2.15% |