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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-09-23 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 444.9799 (+2.6%) | 2.1 | 0.3% | 21m | 19.9d ago · 52× | 31% ±45 | 38% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 14% ±13 | 29% ±45 | 57% | 61% | 2.9d | 2.05% | 0.92% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 434.3869 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 68× | 72% ±39 | 26% ±22 | 53% ±24 | 21% ±20 | 16 | 66% ±18 | 72% ±39 | 83% ±52 | 93% | 1h | 1.47% | 1.58% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 433.665 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 415.1349–427.0729 (-1.5%) | 1.2 | 2.9% | 4h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 45% ±37 | 45% ±24 | 30% ±22 | 25% ±21 | 17 | 36% ±15 | 43% ±37 | 63% ±67 | 68% | 2.0d | 2.60% | 1.02% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 422.6419–424.6767 (-2.1%) | 1.7 | 5.1% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 78× | 36% ±47 | 35% ±25 | 41% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 20% ±16 | 34% ±46 | 43% | 65% | 4.0d | 2.22% | 0.51% | 25 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 416.3287–416.3789 (-4.0%) | 3.2 | 4.1% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 79× | 16% ±27 | 21% ±23 | 32% ±26 | 46% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±7 | 16% ±25 | 39% ±55 | 52% | 2.9d | 1.58% | 1.56% | 46 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 397.2279–406.7783 (-6.2%) | 5.0 | 0.8% | 51m | 12.9d ago · 36× | 7% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 6% ±34 | 25% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 392.3616 (-9.5%) | 7.7 | 2.4% | 2h | 8.9d ago · 58× | 7% ±18 | 29% ±27 | 43% ±29 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±17 | 9% ±32 | 21% | > 7d | 2.38% | 1.02% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 346.4915 (-20.1%) | 16 | 10.4% | 21h | 6.9d ago · 45× | 6% ±27 | 44% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | 1.87% | 0.79% | 17 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 325.6 (-24.9%) | 20 | 0.2% | 10m | 7.7d ago · 44× | 5% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 433.665 | 424.6767 | 437.6284 | target | -1.35% |