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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-09-24 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 444.9799 (+1.0%) | 0.8 | 0.4% | 23m | 20.0d ago · 52× | 60% ±43 | 38% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 47% ±18 | 60% ±43 | 77% ±59 | 77% | 5h | 2.05% | 0.92% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 440.4545 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 436.0132 (-1.0%) | 0.8 | 2.2% | 3h | 14.0d ago · 53× | 56% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 42% ±23 | 58% ±56 | 68% | 79% | 1.0d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 415.1349–428.2667 (-2.8%) | 2.1 | 3.0% | 4h | 1.9d ago · 69× | 36% ±38 | 45% ±24 | 30% ±22 | 25% ±21 | 17 | 29% ±14 | 39% ±36 | 61% ±68 | 66% | 2.9d | 2.60% | 1.02% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 7D VAL | 421.733–424.9268 (-3.5%) | 2.6 | 5.9% | 9h | 1.9d ago · 79× | 19% ±27 | 32% ±24 | 38% ±25 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 12% ±9 | 21% ±28 | 38% ±55 | 53% | 5.4d | 2.18% | 0.72% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 418.7163 (-4.9%) | 3.7 | 5.7% | 9h | 6.0d ago · 38× | 17% ±42 | 20% ±23 | 33% ±27 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 5% ±10 | 15% ±41 | 47% | 54% | 3.1d | 1.18% | 1.79% | 18 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 397.2279–406.7783 (-7.6%) | 5.7 | 0.8% | 55m | 13.0d ago · 36× | 6% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 6% ±33 | 28% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 395.0917 (-10.3%) | 7.7 | 2.3% | 3h | 9.0d ago · 58× | 7% ±18 | 29% ±27 | 43% ±29 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±17 | 8% ±32 | 20% | > 7d | 2.38% | 1.02% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 346.4915 (-21.3%) | 16 | 10.9% | 22h | 7.0d ago · 45× | 6% ±26 | 44% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | 1.87% | 0.79% | 18 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 325.6 (-26.1%) | 20 | 0.2% | 12m | 7.8d ago · 44× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 440.4545 | 454.7348 | 424.5558 | stop | -2.56% |