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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-10-03 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,782 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0020), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.38 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 470.75 (+10.0%) | 6.7 | 0.2% | 5m | 1.1d ago · 40× | 9% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±23 | 26% ±61 | 68% | 6.9d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 456.2489 (+6.6%) | 4.4 | 1.6% | 2h | 6.1d ago · 68× | 15% ±29 | 23% ±19 | 50% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 5% ±7 | 15% ±26 | 37% ±67 | 55% | 7.0d | 1.36% | 1.53% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 445.4317 (+4.0%) | 2.7 | 2.8% | 4h | 20.1d ago · 52× | 20% ±32 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 9% ±10 | 20% ±32 | 57% ±69 | 74% | 2.9d | 1.98% | 1.06% | 33 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 440.0063–441.5061 (+2.8%) | 1.9 | 5.9% | 12h | 1.9d ago · 82× | 19% ±44 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 5% ±10 | 19% ±44 | 41% | 68% | 4.6d | 1.44% | 1.91% | 19 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 432.5638 (+1.0%) | 0.7 | 4.2% | 7h | 7.1d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 9 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 428.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 424.247–425.4873 (-0.6%) | 0.4 | 7.4% | 12h | 1.1d ago · 58× | 74% ±43 | 37% ±26 | 37% ±26 | 27% ±24 | 13 | 61% ±20 | 74% ±43 | 78% | 78% | 2h | 2.10% | 0.89% | 24 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 396.9369–406.6858 (-5.0%) | 3.4 | 0.8% | 58m | 13.1d ago · 36× | 5% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±17 | 10% ±42 | 25% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 388.5807 (-9.2%) | 6.2 | 1.3% | 1h | 7.9d ago · 44× | 6% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±15 | 14% ±40 | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 345.407–352.3705 (-17.7%) | 12 | 3.5% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 69× | 8% ±37 | 44% ±21 | 32% ±19 | 24% ±18 | 22 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | 2.44% | 0.94% | 11 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 428.13 | 404.4449 | 441.5061 | expired | -0.40% |