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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-10-03 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 470.75 (+11.8%) | 7.5 | 0.2% | 6m | 1.7d ago · 40× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 20% ±55 | 63% | 6.9d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 458.4644 (+8.9%) | 5.6 | 2.1% | 3h | 5.9d ago · 68× | 3% ±15 | 23% ±19 | 50% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 27% ±62 | 45% | > 7d | 1.36% | 1.53% | 32 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 445.4317 (+5.8%) | 3.7 | 2.9% | 4h | 19.9d ago · 52× | 13% ±27 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 5% ±7 | 13% ±27 | 45% ±69 | 66% | 3.9d | 1.98% | 1.06% | 37 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 440.0063–441.3157 (+4.5%) | 2.9 | 6.2% | 12h | 1.7d ago · 82× | 23% ±41 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±8 | 23% ±41 | 48% | 73% | 3.4d | 1.44% | 1.91% | 25 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 432.8694 (+2.8%) | 1.8 | 4.7% | 8h | 6.9d ago · 52× | building | building | building | building | building | 9 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 425.2804–425.4873 (+1.0%) | 0.7 | 8.6% | 14h | 1.7d ago · 41× | 48% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 43% ±22 | 48% ±57 | 57% | 95% | 1.2d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| at post · 420.935 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 396.9369–405.2931 (-3.7%) | 2.3 | 0.6% | 36m | 12.9d ago · 36× | 11% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 7% ±10 | 11% ±30 | 18% | 26% | > 7d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 392.7588 (-6.7%) | 4.2 | 2.8% | 3h | 7.7d ago · 44× | 14% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 4% ±6 | 14% ±25 | 23% ±58 | 32% | > 7d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 345.407–352.3705 (-16.3%) | 10 | 3.7% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 8% ±37 | 44% ±21 | 32% ±19 | 24% ±18 | 22 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | 2.44% | 0.94% | 12 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 420.935 | 400.7837 | 440.0063 | expired | -2.12% |
| 30d | POC | short | 420.935 | 392.7588 | 470.75 | expired | -2.12% |