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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-10-20 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 445.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 444.658 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 7.5% | 10h | 5.7d ago · 38× | 87% ±47 | 25% ±24 | 31% ±25 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 73% ±24 | 87% ±47 | 87% | 87% | 1h | 1.25% | 1.67% | 13 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 426.275–441.1 (-1.0%) | 0.7 | 10.9% | 17h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 72% ±29 | 40% ±18 | 40% ±18 | 20% ±15 | 27 | 62% ±13 | 72% ±29 | 81% ±44 | 83% | 1h | 2.18% | 1.02% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 439.5792–440.499 (-1.1%) | 0.8 | 11.4% | 17h | 12.8d ago · 53× | 63% ±42 | 39% ±26 | 32% ±25 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 45% ±18 | 63% ±42 | 69% ±64 | 79% | 13h | 2.39% | 1.04% | 31 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 431.7539–433.5525 (-2.7%) | 1.8 | 14.1% | 23h | 1.7d ago · 78× | 40% ±39 | 36% ±20 | 38% ±20 | 26% ±18 | 23 | 29% ±15 | 40% ±39 | 61% ±68 | 77% | 2.3d | 2.33% | 0.98% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 422.396–427.1226 (-4.1%) | 2.8 | 10.5% | 15h | 7.5d ago · 79× | 22% ±24 | 37% ±23 | 35% ±23 | 28% ±21 | 17 | 9% ±7 | 22% ±24 | 40% ±48 | 54% ±69 | 4.0d | 2.97% | 1.10% | 63 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 445.48 | 457.9366 | 431.7539 | expired | -0.16% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 445.48 | 463.583 | 433.5525 | expired | -0.16% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 445.48 | 465.642 | 433.0945 | expired | -0.16% |