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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-10-20 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 445.251 (+0.5%) | 0.3 | 6.9% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 40× | 65% ±47 | 15% ±22 | 38% ±30 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 39% ±21 | 65% ±47 | 70% | 74% | 21h | 1.11% | 1.56% | 21 → 1 | |
| at post · 443.2513 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 428.054–441.1 (-0.5%) | 0.3 | 10.6% | 17h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 75% ±30 | 40% ±18 | 40% ±18 | 20% ±15 | 27 | 66% ±13 | 75% ±28 | 83% ±42 | 85% | 1h | 2.18% | 1.02% | 51 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 440.218–440.92 (-0.5%) | 0.4 | 10.7% | 17h | 12.8d ago · 53× | 71% ±45 | 39% ±26 | 32% ±25 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 60% ±20 | 72% ±44 | 76% | 84% | 2h | 2.39% | 1.04% | 23 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 431.7539–433.5525 (-2.2%) | 1.5 | 13.3% | 22h | 1.7d ago · 78× | 50% ±37 | 36% ±20 | 38% ±20 | 26% ±18 | 23 | 35% ±15 | 49% ±37 | 65% ±66 | 83% | 1.3d | 2.33% | 0.98% | 40 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 423.238–427.1226 (-3.6%) | 2.5 | 9.9% | 15h | 7.5d ago · 79× | 25% ±27 | 37% ±23 | 35% ±23 | 28% ±21 | 17 | 11% ±8 | 24% ±27 | 44% ±56 | 55% | 3.8d | 2.97% | 1.10% | 62 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 443.2513 | 433.0945 | 448.8802 | stop | -0.55% |