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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-10-22 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 449.2302 (+3.5%) | 2.7 | 3.7% | 6h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 22% ±27 | 24% ±18 | 52% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 22 | 5% ±6 | 22% ±27 | 38% ±55 | 45% | > 7d | 1.54% | 1.36% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 445.3841–445.844 (+2.6%) | 2.0 | 7.8% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 26% ±30 | 31% ±19 | 30% ±19 | 38% ±20 | 22 | 11% ±9 | 26% ±30 | 47% ±56 | 65% | 3.7d | 1.37% | 1.40% | 48 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 441.693–444.065 (+1.7%) | 1.4 | 8.7% | 14h | 5.6d ago · 61× | 84% ±41 | 13% ±18 | 38% ±26 | 50% ±27 | 13 | 42% ±23 | 84% ±41 | 89% | 95% | 21h | 1.59% | 0.84% | 17 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 440.596 (+1.5%) | 1.2 | 8.9% | 14h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 47% ±35 | 37% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 35% ±14 | 47% ±35 | 71% ±51 | 78% | 1.1d | 2.05% | 0.92% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 434.8735 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 11.0% | 19h | 1.3d ago · 33× | 57% ±49 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 52% ±21 | 57% ±49 | 65% | 96% | 1h | 0.64% | 2.69% | 21 → 1 | |
| at post · 434.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 433.5012–433.5607 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 11.1% | 19h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 82% ±34 | 27% ±19 | 39% ±21 | 34% ±20 | 21 | 74% ±17 | 82% ±34 | 86% ±48 | 90% | 1h | 2.11% | 1.21% | 27 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 422.5715–425.089 (-2.1%) | 1.7 | 6.7% | 9h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 37% ±42 | 41% ±23 | 38% ±23 | 21% ±19 | 17 | 20% ±14 | 37% ±42 | 47% ±69 | 51% | 5.3d | 3.34% | 0.67% | 32 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 434.15 | 433.5012 | 443.8404 | target | +2.23% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 434.15 | 434.8735 | 449.5799 | target | +2.23% |