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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-10-22 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 449.2302 (+3.8%) | 3.3 | 3.3% | 5h | 5.7d ago · 68× | 20% ±26 | 24% ±18 | 52% ±21 | 24% ±18 | 22 | 5% ±6 | 20% ±26 | 34% ±54 | 45% | > 7d | 1.54% | 1.36% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 445.3841–445.844 (+2.9%) | 2.5 | 6.9% | 12h | 1.5d ago · 82× | 23% ±29 | 31% ±19 | 30% ±19 | 38% ±20 | 22 | 6% ±7 | 23% ±29 | 45% ±56 | 67% | 3.7d | 1.37% | 1.40% | 50 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 442.286–444.065 (+2.2%) | 1.9 | 7.7% | 13h | 5.7d ago · 61× | 75% ±60 | 13% ±18 | 38% ±26 | 50% ±27 | 13 | 24% ±22 | 75% ±49 | 88% | 94% | 21h | 1.59% | 0.84% | 15 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 440.596 (+1.8%) | 1.6 | 7.4% | 12h | 19.7d ago · 52× | 35% ±35 | 37% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 21% ±12 | 34% ±33 | 61% ±55 | 69% | 2.1d | 2.05% | 0.92% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL · 30D POC | 433.5012–434.8735 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 10.5% | 18h | 1.5d ago · 54× | 59% ±48 | 21% ±22 | 35% ±26 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 57% ±21 | 60% ±48 | 70% | 93% | 1h | 1.29% | 1.85% | 22 → 1 | |
| at post · 432.925 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 422.955–425.089 (-1.8%) | 1.6 | 6.0% | 8h | 7.5d ago · 58× | 38% ±43 | 41% ±23 | 38% ±23 | 21% ±19 | 17 | 21% ±14 | 38% ±43 | 48% ±69 | 52% | 5.3d | 3.34% | 0.67% | 32 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 432.925 | 417.2555 | 445.3841 | target | -3.05% |
| 14d | POC | short | 432.925 | 422.955 | 440.596 | target | -3.05% |