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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-03 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 468.5564 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.8% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 68× | 76% ±37 | 27% ±18 | 50% ±20 | 23% ±17 | 23 | 68% ±16 | 76% ±37 | 85% ±49 | 94% | 1h | 1.57% | 1.29% | 32 → 1 | |
| at post · 468.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 459.4245–459.6292 (-1.9%) | 1.3 | 4.4% | 8h | 6.9d ago · 78× | 56% ±34 | 37% ±19 | 29% ±17 | 35% ±18 | 26 | 33% ±13 | 55% ±34 | 69% ±52 | 83% | 23h | 2.23% | 1.15% | 50 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 450.2744–451.3264 (-3.7%) | 2.6 | 4.3% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 79× | 24% ±24 | 27% ±19 | 33% ±20 | 40% ±21 | 21 | 10% ±7 | 24% ±24 | 55% ±49 | 67% ±65 | 2.8d | 1.90% | 1.33% | 73 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 442.76–448.3958 (-4.3%) | 3.0 | 8.1% | 12h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 38% ±36 | 36% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 25% ±15 | 33 | 14% ±10 | 38% ±36 | 69% ±64 | 74% | 1.9d | 2.05% | 1.02% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 446.091 (-4.8%) | 3.4 | 10.9% | 18h | 1.8d ago · 59× | 26% ±33 | 21% ±16 | 50% ±20 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 8% ±8 | 26% ±30 | 43% ±56 | 56% | 3.9d | 1.92% | 0.74% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 431.3493–433.6801 (-7.4%) | 5.2 | 12.4% | 20h | 6.9d ago · 58× | 11% ±18 | 40% ±21 | 36% ±20 | 24% ±18 | 21 | 2% ±4 | 11% ±17 | 28% ±44 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 2.47% | 1.07% | 71 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 423.974 (-9.5%) | 6.7 | 4.6% | 5h | 7.7d ago · 44× | 6% ±12 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±12 | 13% ±29 | 18% ±53 | > 7d | 4.17% | 0.17% | 86 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 468.43 | 459.4245 | 471.6578 | target | +5.17% |