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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-04 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 470.2794 (+2.7%) | 1.7 | 1.4% | 3h | 5.9d ago · 68× | 42% ±34 | 27% ±18 | 50% ±20 | 23% ±17 | 23 | 19% ±11 | 42% ±34 | 60% ±56 | 71% | 1.9d | 1.57% | 1.29% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 465.6462 (+1.6%) | 1.0 | 2.6% | 4h | 19.9d ago · 52× | 58% ±32 | 43% ±23 | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 42% ±13 | 58% ±32 | 78% ±47 | 84% | 21h | 2.20% | 0.92% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 459.4245 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 5.0% | 8h | 1.7d ago · 82× | 83% ±30 | 43% ±19 | 25% ±17 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 80% ±14 | 83% ±30 | 94% ±32 | 97% | 1h | 1.74% | 1.43% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 458.0931 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 452.0156–454.6578 (-0.7%) | 0.5 | 4.8% | 7h | 5.9d ago · 79× | 70% ±34 | 27% ±19 | 33% ±20 | 40% ±21 | 21 | 59% ±15 | 70% ±34 | 80% ±55 | 86% | 3h | 1.90% | 1.33% | 43 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 442.76–448.3958 (-2.1%) | 1.3 | 9.0% | 13h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 59% ±29 | 36% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 25% ±15 | 33 | 48% ±12 | 59% ±29 | 75% ±42 | 78% ±57 | 21h | 2.05% | 1.02% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 446.091 (-2.6%) | 1.6 | 11.8% | 19h | 1.8d ago · 59× | 49% ±37 | 21% ±16 | 50% ±20 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 35% ±15 | 49% ±37 | 65% ±66 | 77% | 1.0d | 1.92% | 0.74% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 437.968 (-4.4%) | 2.8 | 11.1% | 15h | 8.9d ago · 58× | 20% ±25 | 38% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 24% ±20 | 18 | 10% ±8 | 20% ±25 | 42% ±56 | 52% | 5.9d | 3.16% | 1.10% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 433.6801 (-5.3%) | 3.3 | 13.4% | 22h | 6.9d ago · 45× | 21% ±26 | 42% ±21 | 33% ±20 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 8% ±7 | 20% ±25 | 40% ±55 | 59% | 5.9d | 1.87% | 1.05% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 427.7312 (-6.6%) | 4.2 | 5.9% | 9h | 7.7d ago · 44× | 13% ±18 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 5% ±5 | 13% ±18 | 27% ±43 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | 4.17% | 0.17% | 76 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 458.0931 | 452.0156 | 470.2794 | target | +3.39% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 458.0931 | 446.091 | 470.6283 | target | +3.39% |