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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-04 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 465.6462–466.8334 (+3.3%) | 2.0 | 2.6% | 4h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 30% ±30 | 34% ±19 | 41% ±20 | 25% ±18 | 23 | 13% ±9 | 30% ±28 | 54% ±56 | 62% | 3.0d | 1.85% | 1.13% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 459.4245 (+1.9%) | 1.2 | 5.1% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 62% ±39 | 43% ±19 | 25% ±17 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 55% ±16 | 63% ±39 | 84% ±51 | 92% | 3h | 1.74% | 1.43% | 36 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 454.6578 (+0.9%) | 0.5 | 5.1% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 59% ±39 | 18% ±20 | 35% ±25 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 38% ±16 | 59% ±39 | 67% ±65 | 72% | 22h | 1.11% | 1.45% | 37 → 1 | |
| at post · 450.78 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 442.76–448.3958 (-0.5%) | 0.3 | 9.2% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 69× | 78% ±26 | 36% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 25% ±15 | 33 | 70% ±12 | 78% ±26 | 84% ±41 | 86% | 1h | 2.05% | 1.02% | 61 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 446.091–447.5358 (-0.7%) | 0.4 | 10.7% | 16h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 74% ±33 | 25% ±17 | 42% ±19 | 33% ±18 | 25 | 68% ±15 | 74% ±32 | 85% ±49 | 91% | 1h | 2.12% | 0.91% | 40 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 437.968 (-2.8%) | 1.7 | 11.1% | 16h | 8.6d ago · 58× | 41% ±36 | 38% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 24% ±20 | 18 | 20% ±12 | 41% ±36 | 59% ±68 | 65% | 2.0d | 3.16% | 1.10% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 433.6801 (-3.8%) | 2.3 | 13.5% | 22h | 6.6d ago · 45× | 31% ±32 | 42% ±21 | 33% ±20 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 19% ±11 | 31% ±32 | 58% ±56 | 81% | 2.0d | 1.87% | 1.05% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 427.7312 (-5.1%) | 3.1 | 6.0% | 9h | 7.4d ago · 44× | 23% ±27 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 9% ±7 | 23% ±27 | 40% ±56 | 52% | 7.0d | 4.17% | 0.17% | 56 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 450.78 | 433.6801 | 459.5046 | expired | -0.41% |