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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-04 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 465.6462 (+4.8%) | 3.1 | 2.4% | 4h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 22% ±27 | 43% ±23 | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 9% ±8 | 22% ±27 | 46% ±56 | 68% | 4.0d | 2.20% | 0.92% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 7D VAH | 459.0799–462.009 (+3.4%) | 2.1 | 4.7% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 26% ±27 | 35% ±19 | 37% ±19 | 28% ±18 | 25 | 9% ±7 | 25% ±26 | 50% ±49 | 62% ±67 | 3.6d | 1.66% | 1.36% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 454.6578 (+2.4%) | 1.5 | 4.8% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 37% ±34 | 18% ±20 | 35% ±25 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 13% ±9 | 37% ±33 | 55% ±56 | 69% | 2.9d | 1.11% | 1.45% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 447.8961 (+0.8%) | 0.5 | 10.4% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 60% ±48 | 21% ±20 | 21% ±20 | 58% ±24 | 16 | 60% ±20 | 60% ±48 | 72% | 92% | 1h | 1.28% | 2.42% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 444.19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 444.0898 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 10.8% | 18h | 12.4d ago · 79× | 86% ±39 | 29% ±19 | 33% ±20 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 75% ±18 | 88% ±32 | 92% | 92% | 1h | 2.35% | 1.12% | 22 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 430.236–439.629 (-1.0%) | 0.7 | 8.7% | 12h | 1.5d ago · 69× | 75% ±25 | 36% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 25% ±15 | 33 | 68% ±11 | 76% ±24 | 83% ±37 | 85% ±50 | 1h | 2.05% | 1.02% | 69 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 438.5697 (-1.3%) | 0.8 | 9.9% | 14h | 8.6d ago · 58× | 74% ±35 | 38% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 24% ±20 | 18 | 54% ±16 | 73% ±36 | 81% ±54 | 81% | 2h | 3.16% | 1.10% | 37 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 433.6801 (-2.4%) | 1.5 | 12.5% | 21h | 6.6d ago · 45× | 50% ±37 | 42% ±21 | 33% ±20 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 31% ±14 | 50% ±37 | 72% ±62 | 91% | 1.0d | 1.87% | 1.05% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 427.7312 (-3.7%) | 2.4 | 5.5% | 8h | 7.4d ago · 44× | 31% ±37 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 15% ±11 | 30% ±37 | 49% ±69 | 59% | 5.9d | 4.17% | 0.17% | 38 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 444.19 | 438.5697 | 465.6462 | stop | -4.07% |