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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-17 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 463.1152–464.9099 (+13.2%) | 7.3 | 5.0% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 52× | 5% ±16 | 33% ±21 | 30% ±21 | 37% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±15 | 15% ±40 | 50% | 7.0d | 1.80% | 1.19% | 50 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 446.2266–447.5526 (+9.1%) | 5.0 | 13.9% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 54× | 11% ±27 | 23% ±19 | 26% ±20 | 51% ±23 | 18 | 3% ±6 | 11% ±25 | 25% ±60 | 63% | 6.9d | 1.12% | 1.90% | 33 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 431.1637–437.554 (+5.4%) | 3.0 | 6.1% | 12h | 5.7d ago · 61× | 40% ±55 | 14% ±15 | 36% ±22 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 14% ±15 | 39% ±55 | 60% | 95% | 2.8d | 1.59% | 1.27% | 20 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 429.3379 (+5.0%) | 2.8 | 4.1% | 8h | 7.6d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 423.9799 (+3.7%) | 2.0 | 2.3% | 2h | 5.7d ago · 68× | 29% ±26 | 30% ±18 | 48% ±20 | 22% ±17 | 24 | 11% ±7 | 29% ±26 | 46% ±49 | 52% ±69 | 3.9d | 1.70% | 1.36% | 73 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 412.4145 (+0.8%) | 0.5 | 1.8% | 2h | 5.7d ago · 41× | 67% ±53 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 58% ±23 | 68% ±53 | 79% | 79% | 2h | 1.41% | 2.87% | 17 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 411.9928–412.9057 (+0.7%) | 0.4 | 1.8% | 2h | 15.5d ago · 46× | 76% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 61% ±24 | 78% ±47 | 89% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| at post · 408.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 406.9625 (-0.5%) | 0.3 | 3.7% | 6h | 6.7d ago · 78× | 84% ±27 | 38% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 70% ±14 | 84% ±27 | 86% ±48 | 93% | 1h | 2.37% | 1.55% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 388.751 (-4.9%) | 2.7 | 0.4% | 12m | 12.5d ago · 79× | 30% ±25 | 26% ±16 | 32% ±17 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 12% ±7 | 30% ±25 | 55% ±49 | 67% ±65 | 2.9d | 2.05% | 1.85% | 80 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 408.94 | 423.9799 | 388.751 | expired | -1.88% |