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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-18 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 464.0281 (+17.0%) | 8.5 | 4.7% | 6h | 1.4d ago · 40× | 3% ±13 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 14% ±48 | 51% | 7.0d | 1.18% | 1.72% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 455.5962 (+14.8%) | 7.4 | 6.6% | 9h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 6% ±16 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±15 | 14% ±39 | 47% | > 7d | 2.29% | 0.78% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 446.2266–446.7059 (+12.5%) | 6.2 | 14.6% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 54× | 11% ±31 | 23% ±19 | 26% ±20 | 51% ±23 | 18 | 4% ±7 | 10% ±26 | 21% ±56 | 58% | 6.9d | 1.12% | 1.90% | 29 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 431.1637–437.554 (+8.7%) | 4.3 | 6.4% | 13h | 5.6d ago · 61× | 27% ±61 | 14% ±15 | 36% ±22 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 6% ±13 | 26% ±61 | 40% | 94% | 6.9d | 1.59% | 1.27% | 14 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 429.3379 (+8.2%) | 4.1 | 4.4% | 9h | 7.6d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 423.8688 (+6.8%) | 3.4 | 2.5% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 18% ±21 | 30% ±18 | 48% ±20 | 22% ±17 | 24 | 6% ±5 | 17% ±21 | 33% ±46 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 1.70% | 1.36% | 79 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 411.9928–412.9057 (+3.8%) | 1.9 | 2.0% | 2h | 15.5d ago · 46× | 44% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 25% ±23 | 44% ±69 | 69% | 81% | 1.9d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 406.8973–407.3343 (+2.6%) | 1.3 | 4.2% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 82× | 49% ±35 | 38% ±17 | 27% ±16 | 35% ±17 | 30 | 35% ±14 | 50% ±35 | 73% ±50 | 85% | 1.3d | 2.49% | 1.63% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 396.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 395.8808 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 1.0% | 45m | 12.4d ago · 79× | 89% ±25 | 26% ±16 | 32% ±17 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 62% ±16 | 89% ±25 | 92% ±38 | 95% | 1h | 2.05% | 1.85% | 35 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 396.72 | 395.8808 | 423.8688 | target | -3.59% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 396.72 | 348.4581 | 446.7059 | expired | -3.59% |