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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-19 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 465.8539 (+13.4%) | 7.2 | 3.4% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 40× | 6% ±16 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±5 | 6% ±15 | 19% ±44 | 52% | 7.0d | 1.18% | 1.72% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 446.2266 (+8.6%) | 4.6 | 13.1% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 33× | 12% ±32 | 22% ±21 | 33% ±24 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 7% ±10 | 11% ±30 | 28% | 71% | 5.0d | 0.93% | 1.28% | 26 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 438.6622 (+6.7%) | 3.6 | 6.0% | 8h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 13% ±20 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 7% ±6 | 13% ±19 | 34% ±46 | 53% ±69 | 7.0d | 2.29% | 0.78% | 69 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 431.1637–437.554 (+4.9%) | 2.7 | 6.0% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 61× | 33% ±46 | 14% ±15 | 36% ±22 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 12% ±13 | 32% ±46 | 57% | 83% | 2.8d | 1.59% | 1.27% | 23 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 428.425 (+4.2%) | 2.3 | 3.0% | 6h | 7.6d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 413.8167 (+0.7%) | 0.4 | 1.9% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 68% ±32 | 30% ±18 | 48% ±20 | 22% ±17 | 24 | 56% ±14 | 68% ±32 | 80% ±45 | 90% | 2h | 1.70% | 1.36% | 48 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 411.9928–413.8186 (+0.3%) | 0.1 | 2.0% | 2h | 15.5d ago · 46× | 80% ±55 | 23% ±26 | 31% ±29 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 67% ±26 | 80% ±55 | 87% | 93% | 1h | 1.82% | 1.73% | 13 → 1 | |
| at post · 410.965 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 405.9304–406.911 (-1.0%) | 0.5 | 4.9% | 8h | 1.5d ago · 78× | 78% ±25 | 29% ±16 | 38% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 62% ±12 | 79% ±25 | 84% ±41 | 90% | 2h | 2.11% | 1.19% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 393.7871–396.0088 (-3.6%) | 2.0 | 1.2% | 1h | 8.6d ago · 79× | 37% ±30 | 29% ±17 | 32% ±17 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 17% ±9 | 37% ±30 | 58% ±56 | 69% | 2.4d | 2.19% | 1.65% | 61 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 410.965 | 413.8167 | 396.0088 | target | +4.10% |
| 14d | POC | long | 410.965 | 438.6622 | 393.7871 | expired | +4.10% |