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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-19 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 466.7668 (+15.8%) | 8.1 | 3.0% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 40× | 2% ±11 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 15% ±49 | 52% | 7.0d | 1.18% | 1.72% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 446.2266 (+10.7%) | 5.5 | 13.0% | 24h | 1.4d ago · 33× | 4% ±19 | 22% ±21 | 33% ±24 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±18 | 12% | 61% | 7.0d | 0.93% | 1.28% | 26 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 436.9688 (+8.4%) | 4.3 | 6.9% | 11h | 19.7d ago · 52× | 13% ±21 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 6% ±6 | 13% ±20 | 27% ±44 | 52% ±69 | 7.0d | 2.29% | 0.78% | 63 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 431.1637–437.554 (+7.0%) | 3.6 | 6.2% | 13h | 5.7d ago · 61× | 29% ±51 | 14% ±15 | 36% ±22 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 4% ±8 | 27% ±44 | 45% | 96% | 6.9d | 1.59% | 1.27% | 22 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 427.5121 (+6.1%) | 3.1 | 2.5% | 4h | 7.6d ago · 30× | 25% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 7% ±14 | 22% ±58 | 22% | 22% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 412.2623 (+2.3%) | 1.2 | 2.1% | 2h | 5.7d ago · 68× | 51% ±30 | 30% ±18 | 48% ±20 | 22% ±17 | 24 | 36% ±11 | 50% ±28 | 67% ±46 | 76% ±59 | 1.0d | 1.70% | 1.36% | 71 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 411.9928–413.8186 (+2.2%) | 1.1 | 2.2% | 3h | 15.5d ago · 46× | 67% ±53 | 23% ±26 | 31% ±29 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 37% ±20 | 71% ±45 | 88% | 96% | 21h | 1.82% | 1.73% | 22 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 406.016–406.911 (+0.7%) | 0.4 | 5.7% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 82× | 67% ±33 | 39% ±17 | 22% ±15 | 40% ±17 | 31 | 64% ±14 | 68% ±32 | 79% ±46 | 89% | 2h | 2.10% | 1.65% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 403 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 393.7871–397.2713 (-1.4%) | 0.7 | 1.8% | 2h | 8.7d ago · 79× | 71% ±28 | 28% ±16 | 33% ±17 | 39% ±18 | 29 | 44% ±12 | 70% ±28 | 81% ±44 | 85% | 12h | 2.29% | 1.63% | 62 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 403 | 397.2713 | 412.2623 | stop | -0.30% |
| 14d | POC | short | 403 | 393.7871 | 436.9688 | expired | -0.30% |