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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-20 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 466.7668 (+15.5%) | 7.3 | 3.3% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 4% ±13 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±5 | 4% ±12 | 16% ±42 | 48% | > 7d | 1.18% | 1.72% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 446.2266 (+10.4%) | 4.9 | 11.3% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 33× | 10% ±27 | 22% ±21 | 33% ±24 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±9 | 10% ±26 | 17% ±52 | 54% | 7.0d | 0.93% | 1.28% | 29 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 432.9164 (+7.1%) | 3.4 | 8.0% | 14h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 16% ±21 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 7% ±6 | 16% ±21 | 37% ±47 | 55% ±69 | 6.9d | 2.29% | 0.78% | 73 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 431.1637–437.554 (+6.7%) | 3.1 | 6.7% | 13h | 5.6d ago · 61× | 31% ±45 | 14% ±15 | 36% ±22 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 11% ±12 | 29% ±45 | 49% | 83% | 5.8d | 1.59% | 1.27% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 422.9476 (+4.6%) | 2.2 | 3.2% | 3h | 7.5d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 8% ±16 | 46% ±69 | 69% | 92% | 1.9d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 412.3224 (+2.0%) | 0.9 | 2.6% | 3h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 57% ±29 | 30% ±18 | 48% ±20 | 22% ±17 | 24 | 43% ±12 | 59% ±29 | 72% ±44 | 81% ±54 | 21h | 1.70% | 1.36% | 66 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 411.9928–412.9057 (+1.9%) | 0.9 | 2.7% | 3h | 15.4d ago · 46× | 73% ±43 | 21% ±24 | 29% ±27 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 46% ±19 | 75% ±42 | 89% | 96% | 18h | 2.03% | 1.92% | 26 → 1 | |
| at post · 404.195 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 401.9364–403.7274 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 7.0% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 78× | 86% ±26 | 31% ±16 | 37% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 72% ±13 | 86% ±24 | 89% ±36 | 94% | 1h | 2.19% | 1.21% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 396.1664–397.2028 (-1.7%) | 0.8 | 2.0% | 2h | 8.6d ago · 79× | 73% ±26 | 28% ±16 | 33% ±17 | 39% ±18 | 29 | 48% ±12 | 72% ±27 | 82% ±38 | 86% ±48 | 11h | 2.29% | 1.63% | 68 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 404.195 | 401.9364 | 415.2305 | target | +0.95% |