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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-20 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 466.7668 (+18.2%) | 8.7 | 3.1% | 5h | 1.6d ago · 40× | 3% ±13 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 11% ±44 | 40% | > 7d | 1.18% | 1.72% | 40 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 446.2266 (+13.0%) | 6.2 | 9.9% | 17h | 1.6d ago · 33× | 4% ±19 | 22% ±21 | 33% ±24 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±18 | 8% | 47% | > 7d | 0.93% | 1.28% | 26 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 430.273 (+8.9%) | 4.3 | 5.5% | 11h | 19.9d ago · 52× | 12% ±19 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 6% ±6 | 12% ±19 | 26% ±43 | 51% ±69 | 7.0d | 2.29% | 0.78% | 66 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 420.2089 (+6.4%) | 3.1 | 2.8% | 3h | 7.8d ago · 30× | 23% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 6% ±12 | 37% ±55 | 63% | 94% | 1.9d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 412.3224 (+4.4%) | 2.1 | 2.4% | 3h | 5.9d ago · 68× | 24% ±23 | 30% ±18 | 48% ±20 | 22% ±17 | 24 | 9% ±6 | 25% ±24 | 45% ±49 | 50% ±69 | 4.9d | 1.70% | 1.36% | 78 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 411.9928–413.8186 (+4.3%) | 2.1 | 2.5% | 3h | 15.7d ago · 46× | 50% ±57 | 21% ±24 | 29% ±27 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 18% ±17 | 55% ±56 | 73% | 82% | 1.0d | 2.03% | 1.92% | 20 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 403.8508–404.706 (+2.2%) | 1.1 | 7.4% | 14h | 1.6d ago · 82× | 53% ±33 | 37% ±17 | 21% ±14 | 42% ±17 | 32 | 45% ±13 | 53% ±33 | 67% ±53 | 80% | 1.4d | 2.05% | 1.73% | 54 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 401.9509–404.6896 (+1.8%) | 0.8 | 6.9% | 13h | 5.9d ago · 61× | 81% ±32 | 14% ±15 | 36% ±22 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 51% ±17 | 80% ±32 | 89% ±44 | 93% | 4h | 1.59% | 1.27% | 35 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 395.7048–396.1583 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 1.4% | 2h | 5.9d ago · 52× | 69% ±52 | 17% ±18 | 44% ±24 | 39% ±24 | 16 | 61% ±22 | 69% ±52 | 85% | 87% | 2h | 1.66% | 1.67% | 19 → 1 | |
| at post · 395.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 395.03 | 378.4124 | 404.706 | expired | +1.01% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 395.03 | 360.9153 | 403.8508 | expired | +1.01% |