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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-21 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 467.6797 (+19.6%) | 8.9 | 2.8% | 6h | 1.7d ago · 40× | 2% ±11 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 8% ±37 | 35% | > 7d | 1.18% | 1.72% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 446.2266 (+14.1%) | 6.4 | 10.2% | 17h | 1.7d ago · 33× | 4% ±19 | 22% ±21 | 33% ±24 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 7% ±36 | 38% | > 7d | 0.93% | 1.28% | 28 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 424.2527 (+8.5%) | 3.9 | 3.3% | 3h | 19.9d ago · 52× | 12% ±19 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 6% ±5 | 11% ±18 | 28% ±44 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 2.29% | 0.78% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAL | 413.295–413.8186 (+5.7%) | 2.6 | 2.4% | 3h | 5.9d ago · 68× | 22% ±22 | 29% ±18 | 46% ±20 | 25% ±17 | 25 | 6% ±5 | 22% ±21 | 44% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 2.8d | 1.83% | 1.42% | 87 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 411.9928–414.7315 (+5.4%) | 2.4 | 2.7% | 3h | 15.8d ago · 46× | 38% ±55 | 20% ±23 | 27% ±25 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 13% ±14 | 36% ±47 | 61% | 81% | 2.9d | 2.09% | 2.55% | 22 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 401.8441–401.8965 (+2.8%) | 1.3 | 8.0% | 14h | 1.7d ago · 82× | 46% ±35 | 37% ±17 | 21% ±14 | 42% ±17 | 32 | 36% ±13 | 48% ±33 | 65% ±54 | 80% | 1.8d | 2.05% | 1.73% | 53 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 400.1251–405.6025 (+2.3%) | 1.1 | 7.1% | 12h | 5.9d ago · 61× | 75% ±35 | 14% ±15 | 36% ±22 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 46% ±16 | 77% ±34 | 88% ±44 | 93% | 18h | 1.59% | 1.27% | 37 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 392.1448–393.627 (+0.3%) | 0.1 | 1.6% | 2h | 5.9d ago · 52× | 74% ±50 | 17% ±18 | 44% ±24 | 39% ±24 | 16 | 62% ±22 | 76% ±48 | 86% | 88% | 2h | 1.66% | 1.67% | 19 → 1 | |
| at post · 391.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 391.05 | 371.382 | 401.8965 | open | — |
| 14d | VAL | short | 391.05 | 358.9421 | 401.8441 | open | — |