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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-24 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 452.1604 (+9.0%) | 3.9 | 8.6% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 40× | 15% ±20 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±20 | 32% ±46 | 55% ±69 | 6.9d | 1.18% | 1.72% | 72 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 443.9443–454.8991 (+7.1%) | 3.1 | 8.0% | 14h | 5.7d ago · 61× | 27% ±39 | 17% ±17 | 35% ±21 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 10% ±11 | 27% ±39 | 40% ±68 | 72% | 6.9d | 1.61% | 1.05% | 28 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 421.5771 (+1.7%) | 0.7 | 2.4% | 2h | 19.7d ago · 52× | 62% ±34 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 46% ±14 | 62% ±34 | 76% ±48 | 80% | 6h | 2.29% | 0.78% | 48 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 418.3831–422.9476 (+0.9%) | 0.4 | 2.7% | 3h | 15.5d ago · 46× | 75% ±42 | 20% ±23 | 27% ±25 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 50% ±21 | 75% ±42 | 88% | 96% | 2h | 2.09% | 2.55% | 22 → 1 | |
| at post · 414.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 412.848 (-0.4%) | 0.2 | 3.3% | 3h | 13.7d ago · 53× | 86% ±30 | 29% ±19 | 29% ±19 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 66% ±18 | 86% ±30 | 93% ±35 | 93% | 1h | 1.22% | 1.40% | 27 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 399.2122–407.4283 (-1.8%) | 0.8 | 8.5% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 77% ±23 | 33% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 31% ±15 | 39 | 61% ±11 | 77% ±23 | 84% ±36 | 87% ±47 | 2h | 2.01% | 1.06% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 401.8441–402.4074 (-3.0%) | 1.3 | 10.4% | 16h | 1.6d ago · 78× | 58% ±32 | 33% ±16 | 34% ±16 | 32% ±16 | 32 | 39% ±13 | 58% ±32 | 74% ±50 | 87% | 22h | 2.04% | 1.23% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 392.8219–393.627 (-5.1%) | 2.2 | 2.5% | 3h | 7.5d ago · 79× | 34% ±27 | 31% ±16 | 33% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 32 | 13% ±8 | 34% ±27 | 59% ±48 | 69% ±64 | 2.0d | 2.39% | 1.33% | 73 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 414.69 | 433.911 | 401.8965 | expired | -1.49% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 414.69 | 401.8441 | 388.4256 | target | -1.49% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 414.69 | 402.4074 | 382.141 | target | -1.49% |