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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-09 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 454.46 (+2.0%) | 2.2 | 2.0% | 5h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 22% ±22 | 27% ±16 | 52% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 7% ±5 | 22% ±22 | 45% ±44 | 52% ±69 | 3.9d | 1.70% | 1.47% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 449.6926 (+1.0%) | 1.0 | 1.9% | 3h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 60% ±29 | 38% ±20 | 35% ±19 | 27% ±18 | 23 | 41% ±12 | 59% ±29 | 79% ±40 | 83% ±52 | 21h | 2.11% | 1.06% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 447.2937 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.0% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 82× | 74% ±29 | 46% ±17 | 24% ±14 | 30% ±15 | 34 | 69% ±13 | 74% ±29 | 89% ±36 | 93% | 1h | 2.50% | 1.23% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 445.3948 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 440.5152 (-1.1%) | 1.2 | 2.4% | 3h | 5.4d ago · 38× | 65% ±42 | 20% ±17 | 36% ±20 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 44% ±17 | 67% ±38 | 83% ±52 | 89% | 18h | 1.52% | 1.57% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 435.35 (-2.3%) | 2.4 | 2.7% | 4h | 12.3d ago · 79× | 31% ±23 | 24% ±14 | 35% ±16 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 13% ±7 | 31% ±23 | 57% ±43 | 75% ±60 | 2.1d | 2.29% | 1.47% | 89 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 429.0434 (-3.7%) | 4.0 | 4.0% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 24% ±28 | 20% ±14 | 49% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 32 | 7% ±7 | 24% ±28 | 48% ±57 | 60% | 3.1d | 2.12% | 0.75% | 54 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 417.5717 (-6.2%) | 6.8 | 4.4% | 6h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 9% ±15 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 5% ±5 | 8% ±15 | 22% ±36 | 35% ±66 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 401.5112 (-9.9%) | 11 | 5.3% | 7h | 6.5d ago · 45× | 3% ±13 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 10% ±42 | 19% | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 40 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 399.2169 (-10.4%) | 11 | 3.9% | 4h | 7.3d ago · 44× | 4% ±10 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 4% ±4 | 4% ±10 | 6% ±24 | 10% ±42 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 79 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 445.3948 | 486.6931 | 401.5112 | expired | +0.13% |