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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-09 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 452.7721 (+0.7%) | 0.7 | 1.5% | 2h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 65% ±26 | 27% ±16 | 52% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30 | 47% ±11 | 65% ±26 | 79% ±40 | 88% ±45 | 18h | 1.70% | 1.47% | 75 → 2 | |
| at post · 449.7205 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 449.6926 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.3% | 4h | 12.5d ago · 43× | 82% ±31 | 26% ±18 | 37% ±19 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 67% ±15 | 82% ±31 | 90% ±42 | 95% | 1h | 2.38% | 0.76% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 445.1039–447.2122 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 3.5% | 7h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 73% ±25 | 28% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 36 | 50% ±12 | 73% ±25 | 81% ±38 | 93% ±36 | 9h | 2.10% | 1.58% | 72 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 435.5545 (-3.1%) | 3.4 | 2.8% | 4h | 12.3d ago · 79× | 19% ±19 | 24% ±14 | 35% ±16 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 8% ±6 | 19% ±19 | 44% ±44 | 63% ±67 | 4.0d | 2.29% | 1.47% | 94 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 429.0434 (-4.6%) | 4.9 | 4.1% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 16% ±25 | 20% ±14 | 49% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 32 | 4% ±5 | 16% ±25 | 40% ±56 | 52% | 7.0d | 2.12% | 0.75% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 417.5717 (-7.1%) | 7.6 | 4.4% | 6h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 9% ±16 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 5% ±5 | 9% ±15 | 17% ±36 | 30% ±64 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 401.5112 (-10.7%) | 11 | 5.4% | 8h | 6.5d ago · 45× | 3% ±12 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 10% ±42 | 13% | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 399.2169 (-11.2%) | 12 | 3.9% | 5h | 7.3d ago · 44× | 3% ±9 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 3% ±4 | 3% ±9 | 4% ±19 | 8% ±37 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 77 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 449.7205 | 452.7721 | 435.5545 | expired | -1.05% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 449.7205 | 481.8414 | 429.0434 | expired | -1.05% |