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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-10 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 458.87 (+1.7%) | 1.7 | 0.3% | 18m | 19.4d ago · 52× | 33% ±28 | 41% ±20 | 33% ±19 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 19% ±9 | 36% ±28 | 61% ±48 | 68% ±65 | 1.9d | 2.18% | 0.92% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 455.327 (+0.9%) | 0.9 | 2.2% | 5h | 5.4d ago · 68× | 63% ±26 | 29% ±16 | 50% ±18 | 21% ±14 | 31 | 46% ±11 | 64% ±25 | 78% ±36 | 87% ±47 | 18h | 1.83% | 1.42% | 81 → 2 | |
| at post · 451.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 447.3982–448.3591 (-0.7%) | 0.7 | 3.4% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 78× | 70% ±24 | 27% ±14 | 40% ±16 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 53% ±11 | 70% ±24 | 76% ±38 | 91% ±41 | 3h | 2.25% | 1.22% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 443.9894 (-1.6%) | 1.7 | 2.7% | 3h | 12.2d ago · 79× | 45% ±28 | 26% ±15 | 34% ±16 | 39% ±16 | 35 | 22% ±9 | 44% ±28 | 66% ±46 | 82% ±54 | 1.1d | 2.35% | 1.12% | 74 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 440.5152 (-2.4%) | 2.5 | 2.2% | 3h | 5.4d ago · 38× | 29% ±36 | 23% ±17 | 35% ±19 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 8% ±9 | 28% ±36 | 66% ±66 | 80% | 2.0d | 1.53% | 1.46% | 34 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 431.3378 (-4.4%) | 4.7 | 3.4% | 6h | 8.4d ago · 58× | 13% ±17 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 5% ±4 | 13% ±16 | 33% ±41 | 52% ±69 | 6.9d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 94 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 401.5112 (-11.1%) | 12 | 5.4% | 8h | 6.4d ago · 45× | 2% ±11 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 5% ±30 | 8% | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 394.6282 (-12.6%) | 13 | 1.6% | 2h | 7.2d ago · 44× | 3% ±9 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 7% ±34 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 78 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 451.41 | 448.3591 | 457.3678 | target | +0.99% |