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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-11 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 458.87 (+3.3%) | 3.2 | 0.3% | 19m | 19.5d ago · 52× | 19% ±21 | 41% ±20 | 33% ±19 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 7% ±6 | 20% ±22 | 37% ±47 | 55% ±69 | 6.9d | 2.18% | 0.92% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 454.8546 (+2.4%) | 2.3 | 2.5% | 6h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 22% ±21 | 29% ±16 | 50% ±18 | 21% ±14 | 31 | 7% ±5 | 24% ±22 | 48% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 3.0d | 1.83% | 1.42% | 92 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 447.3982–448.3591 (+0.7%) | 0.7 | 4.1% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 64% ±28 | 38% ±16 | 23% ±14 | 39% ±16 | 35 | 57% ±12 | 65% ±28 | 78% ±41 | 87% ±47 | 7h | 2.02% | 1.64% | 67 → 2 | |
| at post · 444.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 440.5152–442.0998 (-0.5%) | 0.5 | 2.4% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 79× | 76% ±25 | 26% ±15 | 34% ±16 | 40% ±16 | 35 | 54% ±12 | 77% ±25 | 86% ±34 | 88% ±45 | 3h | 2.02% | 1.25% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 431.3378 (-2.9%) | 2.8 | 3.7% | 6h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 20% ±23 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 9% ±7 | 20% ±23 | 46% ±49 | 62% ±67 | 3.2d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 401.5112 (-9.6%) | 9.2 | 5.8% | 8h | 6.5d ago · 45× | 4% ±14 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 4% ±5 | 4% ±13 | 17% ±43 | 25% | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 394.6282 (-11.2%) | 11 | 1.7% | 2h | 7.3d ago · 44× | 4% ±10 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 3% ±4 | 3% ±10 | 6% ±21 | 10% ±41 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 84 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 444.22 | 448.3591 | 457.1505 | target | -1.33% |
| 14d | POC | short | 444.22 | 431.3378 | 458.87 | stop | -1.33% |