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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 458.3799 (+2.3%) | 1.9 | 1.1% | 44m | 19.5d ago · 52× | 35% ±28 | 39% ±19 | 32% ±18 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 18% ±9 | 36% ±27 | 61% ±48 | 70% ±64 | 1.9d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 453.294 (+1.2%) | 1.0 | 3.0% | 5h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 62% ±25 | 31% ±16 | 49% ±17 | 20% ±14 | 32 | 43% ±10 | 62% ±25 | 77% ±37 | 85% ±50 | 18h | 1.92% | 1.36% | 86 → 2 | |
| at post · 448.0683 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH | 444.4896–446.8047 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 6.2% | 13h | 1.4d ago · 78× | 78% ±25 | 27% ±14 | 37% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 38 | 60% ±12 | 78% ±24 | 82% ±38 | 91% ±39 | 2h | 2.12% | 1.29% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 440.2468 (-1.7%) | 1.5 | 2.6% | 4h | 12.3d ago · 79× | 52% ±26 | 28% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 36 | 26% ±9 | 52% ±26 | 70% ±40 | 81% ±55 | 1.0d | 2.40% | 1.06% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 435.2294 (-2.9%) | 2.4 | 1.3% | 1h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 23% ±25 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 8% ±6 | 23% ±24 | 47% ±49 | 61% ±67 | 3.9d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 70 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 405.1338 (-9.6%) | 8.0 | 6.5% | 9h | 6.5d ago · 45× | 7% ±17 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 5% ±6 | 7% ±16 | 22% ±47 | 30% | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 393.5585 (-12.2%) | 10 | 1.6% | 1h | 7.3d ago · 44× | 3% ±10 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 3% ±4 | 3% ±9 | 6% ±20 | 11% ±43 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 89 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 448.0683 | 453.294 | 440.2468 | target | +2.48% |
| 14d | POC | long | 448.0683 | 458.3799 | 435.2294 | target | +2.48% |