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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-12 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 459.17 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 453.8492–456.4676 (-0.6%) | 0.5 | 2.7% | 4h | 12.6d ago · 53× | 70% ±29 | 25% ±17 | 37% ±19 | 39% ±19 | 26 | 50% ±13 | 70% ±29 | 82% ±44 | 89% | 11h | 2.04% | 1.06% | 57 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH | 444.4896–447.2674 (-2.6%) | 2.1 | 6.5% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 78× | 39% ±30 | 27% ±14 | 37% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 38 | 19% ±10 | 39% ±30 | 61% ±55 | 81% | 2.0d | 2.12% | 1.29% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 441.3572 (-3.9%) | 3.2 | 2.9% | 5h | 12.4d ago · 79× | 21% ±20 | 28% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 36 | 10% ±6 | 21% ±20 | 46% ±44 | 65% ±66 | 4.0d | 2.40% | 1.06% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 438.0671 (-4.6%) | 3.8 | 3.0% | 5h | 8.6d ago · 58× | 16% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 7% ±5 | 15% ±18 | 35% ±42 | 56% ±69 | 5.9d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 90 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 405.1338 (-11.8%) | 9.7 | 6.7% | 9h | 6.6d ago · 45× | 4% ±13 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 4% ±5 | 4% ±12 | 14% ±39 | 21% | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 393.5585 (-14.3%) | 12 | 1.7% | 1h | 7.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±10 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 3% ±4 | 3% ±9 | 4% ±18 | 8% ±38 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 89 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 459.17 | 477.5705 | 447.2674 | open | — |