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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-22 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 498.82 (+2.1%) | 1.7 | 0.2% | 7m | 19.6d ago · 52× | 38% ±27 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 19% ±9 | 38% ±26 | 64% ±47 | 72% ±62 | 1.9d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 75 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 490.9024 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.6% | 3h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 71% ±25 | 37% ±16 | 45% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 35 | 53% ±11 | 71% ±25 | 86% ±34 | 94% ±34 | 3h | 2.08% | 1.29% | 77 → 2 | |
| at post · 488.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 487.4385 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 4.7% | 6h | 6.6d ago · 78× | 79% ±23 | 32% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 36% ±15 | 41 | 60% ±11 | 79% ±23 | 83% ±37 | 96% ±29 | 1h | 2.55% | 1.63% | 70 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 475.0672–478.8672 (-2.0%) | 1.7 | 6.4% | 8h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 37% ±23 | 27% ±14 | 37% ±16 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 18% ±7 | 37% ±22 | 56% ±40 | 71% ±51 | 2.3d | 2.15% | 1.00% | 105 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 455.8984 (-6.7%) | 5.6 | 3.9% | 6h | 8.6d ago · 58× | 10% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 5% ±4 | 10% ±14 | 25% ±35 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 109 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 446.4439 (-8.7%) | 7.1 | 7.3% | 15h | 6.6d ago · 45× | 8% ±15 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 4% ±4 | 8% ±15 | 19% ±38 | 27% ±61 | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 74 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 404.0442 (-17.3%) | 14 | 0.3% | 12m | 7.4d ago · 44× | 1% ±5 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±19 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 101 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.